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Prediction markets for Apple iOS

Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?

Jun 11, 10:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.68%chance

174059

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1204

929

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

343091

OptionProbability

Pen

Earbuds

Other

Phone

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)

AR/VR Goggles

Watch

Wearable badge

51

30

14

3

1

0

0

0

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

162690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

489

When will my current phone no longer be my daily driver?

Jan 4, 7:34 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

61803

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2030

Before Jul 2029

Before Jan 2029

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before Jul 2026

90

87

85

73

54

46

41

33

Will the HBO Max app still exist on July 1, 2027?

Dec 5, 8:37 PMJul 1, 8:35 PM

80.01%chance

81707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2001

500

Will the standalone Hulu app still exist on July 1, 2026?

Aug 9, 5:28 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

48.13%chance

111020

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

972

How many days until Manifold iOS app supports Dark Mode?

Aug 1, 4:02 PMApr 28, 1:59 PM

98.41%chance

5190

OptionProbability

NO

YES

420

0

Will Generation Beta (whatever they’re called) prefer Apple devices? 👶📱🗓️

Mar 19, 1:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.99%chance

8176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

176

Quebec flag emoji by 2030? ⚜️

Jun 24, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.9%chance

5138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

228

46

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