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Prediction markets for Apple Notes

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Jun 9, 10:52 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

7.2%chance

292796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1845

25

Chip chief Johny Srouji leaves Apple for another company by 2027?

Dec 7, 1:59 AMDec 31, 6:00 AM

12.95%chance

51890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2592

386

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2027?

Jun 9, 10:54 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

9.24%chance

181442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1686

26

Will Apple’s FSKit be sufficient to implement a read-write OpenZFS port on macOS by End of 2026?

Sep 21, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.78%chance

21050

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2050

488

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

16992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

977

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32%chance

13938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

169

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Comcast by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.12%chance

11660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

557

18

Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?

Jun 4, 11:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.25%chance

16355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

914

Will Apple launch a server product based on proprietary ARM CPUs by End of 2026?

Mar 13, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.89%chance

11320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

272

37

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

7302

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

88

8

4

Will Apple announce any camera-equipped AI wearable before 2027?

May 9, 11:11 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

20.35%chance

5120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

68

Will @she_llac be mentioned in Apple's security patch notes before the end of this year?

Jul 22, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

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