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Prediction markets for Apple Notes

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Jun 9, 10:52 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

8.57%chance

282745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1794

29

Chip chief Johny Srouji leaves Apple for another company by 2027?

Dec 7, 1:59 AMDec 31, 6:00 AM

15.36%chance

41639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2348

426

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2027?

Jun 9, 10:54 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

9.24%chance

181442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1686

26

Will Apple’s FSKit be sufficient to implement a read-write OpenZFS port on macOS by End of 2026?

Sep 21, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.78%chance

21050

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2050

488

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32%chance

13938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

169

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Comcast by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.12%chance

11660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

557

18

Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?

Jun 4, 11:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.25%chance

16355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

914

Will Apple launch a server product based on proprietary ARM CPUs by End of 2026?

Mar 13, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.89%chance

11320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

272

37

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

70

20

10

Will Apple announce any camera-equipped AI wearable before 2027?

May 9, 11:11 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

20.35%chance

5120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

68

Will @she_llac be mentioned in Apple's security patch notes before the end of this year?

Jul 22, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

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