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Prediction markets for Apple Vision

Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro

Jan 23, 3:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.31%chance

24643738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2958

600

Apple Vision Pro discontinued before 2028?

Jun 6, 2:47 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

17.71%chance

589653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

963

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

23.98%chance

807018

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3197

598

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Jun 9, 10:52 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

13.15%chance

252331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1671

44

Apple halves weight of Vision Pro by 2030

Feb 14, 4:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.53%chance

512258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

992

984

Someone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro

Feb 5, 10:11 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.66%chance

231436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1598

291

Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029?

Feb 4, 5:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

14.57%chance

311378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1795

785

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Feb 4, 10:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.73%chance

12757

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

556

Apple Vision Pro breaks 50% annual VR/AR device market share through 2026

Jun 6, 2:38 PMJun 7, 3:59 AM

17.65%chance

15720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

900

Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?

Mar 11, 10:23 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

68.94%chance

18672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1056

860

Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”?

Oct 18, 10:08 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

76.06%chance

13383

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

875

Will Apple’s hand tracking technology from Vision Pro be used to train robots by 2028?

Oct 12, 8:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.43%chance

4176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1074

931

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