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April CPI News

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Prediction markets for April CPI

Will inflation in the US rise above 10% at some point during the second Trump presidency?

Apr 17, 4:18 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

10.54%chance

17821

OptionVotes

YES

NO

291

34

Will US CPI inflation (CPI-U, 12-month, June 2026) exceed 4.0%?

Jun 5, 4:22 PMJul 18, 11:59 PM

75%chance

12537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

49

Will June 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 8, 9:16 AMJul 14, 12:25 PM

18.16%chance

3167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

50

Will June 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 10, 12:14 PMJul 30, 12:25 PM

25%chance

294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

54

Will US CPI inflation (12-month) for June 2026 be 4.5% or higher?

Jun 21, 12:49 PMJul 14, 12:30 PM

21.44%chance

588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

61

Will October 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 18, 4:01 PMNov 13, 12:25 PM

59%chance

530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will June 2026 U.S. durable goods orders rise at least 1.0% month-over-month?

Jun 10, 3:15 AMJul 27, 12:25 PM

33%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

85

Will June 2026 U.S. industrial production rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 8, 2:16 PMJul 17, 1:10 PM

60%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Will June 2026 U.S. capacity utilization be at least 76.5%?

Jun 12, 9:23 PMJul 17, 1:10 PM

42.87%chance

18

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

88

Will July 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

45%chance

16

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Will August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 17, 12:16 PMSep 4, 12:25 PM

50.04%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 17, 8:16 AMSep 10, 12:25 PM

59.64%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

97

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