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April CPI News

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Prediction markets for April CPI

Will July 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 16, 2:16 AMAug 26, 12:25 PM

37%chance

9937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

73

Will July 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 8:16 PMAug 26, 12:25 PM

37.14%chance

8251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will July 2026 U.S. import prices rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?

Jun 15, 11:21 PMAug 18, 12:25 PM

37.77%chance

8227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

62

Will July 2026 U.S. export prices rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?

Jun 16, 3:14 PMAug 18, 12:25 PM

41.51%chance

8204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

74

Will July 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 4:18 AMAug 13, 12:25 PM

31.86%chance

8190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

50

Will September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 18, 2:10 PMNov 4, 12:25 PM

48%chance

2153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 29, 4:11 AMDec 4, 1:25 PM

14%chance

4150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

247

43

Will the December 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 7, 2:23 AMJan 8, 1:25 PM

44%chance

5129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will July 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 5:15 AMAug 14, 12:25 PM

48.9%chance

550

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

92

Will October 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 18, 4:01 PMNov 13, 12:25 PM

59%chance

530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 17, 8:16 AMSep 10, 12:25 PM

68.17%chance

229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

83

Will August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?

Jun 17, 9:20 AMSep 16, 12:25 PM

55.09%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

80

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