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Prediction markets for APT

Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?

Apr 11, 11:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

78.76%chance

151807

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

776

How many car deliveries will Aptera Motors make by Jan 1 2026?

Aug 4, 8:41 PMJan 11, 7:59 AM

101406

OptionProbability

0

1 to 100

101 to 10,000

10,001 to 1 Million

More than 1 Million

94

3

2

1

1

Song of the Year at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Nov 10, 11:12 AMFeb 9, 5:59 AM

161305

OptionProbability

Golden - Hunter/x

Luther - Kendrick Lamar & SZA

Wildflower - Billie Eilish

Abracadabra - Lady Gaga

Anxiety - Doechii

APT. - Rosé & Bruno Mars

DtMF - Bad Bunny

Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter

40

33

11

9

2

2

2

2

Will my personal financial situation be better at the end of Milei's first term?

Dec 30, 1:59 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM

68.53%chance

14546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

961

Record of the Year at the 2026 Grammys?

Dec 1, 11:02 AMFeb 4, 5:59 AM

4425

OptionProbability

Luther - Kendrick Lamar with SZA

APT. - ROSÉ & Bruno Mars

Wildflower- Billie Eilish

Abracadabra - Lady Gaga

Anxiety - Doechii

Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter

DtMF - Bad Bunny

The Subway - Chappell Roan

42

21

8

7

7

7

7

3

Will the Emperor Penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 29, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.53%chance

6236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

523

429

Will SUI and APTOS blockchains merge into a single network by December 31st, 2026?

Aug 27, 5:03 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

43.07%chance

3153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.47%chance

3107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

1041

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