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APT News
Prediction markets for APT
Prediction markets for APT
Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?
Apr 11, 11:08 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
79.56%
chance
16
1857
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1611
763
Will SUI and APTOS blockchains merge into a single network by December 31st, 2026?
Aug 27, 5:03 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
32.63%
chance
5
564
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1437
696
Will my personal financial situation be better at the end of Milei's first term?
Dec 30, 1:59 PM
Dec 11, 2:59 AM
68.53%
chance
14
546
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1069
961
Will the Emperor Penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 29, 9:04 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
61.53%
chance
6
236
Option
Votes
YES
NO
523
429
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%
chance
4
157
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1091
1011
Will Sangdong mine output exceed 20% of non-Chinese tungsten supply on April 1, 2027?
Mar 2, 6:11 PM
Apr 1, 6:10 PM
30.77%
chance
1
50
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
67
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