OptionVotes
YES
NO
4502
453
OptionProbability
Have been born after the first plane was hijacked on 9/11
Be a President or other kind of non-royal, non-coup Head of State
Be a man (cis or trans)
Take office on or before 2034-03-29 (ten years from market creation)
Be a Prime Minister, meaning a head of government, not head of state, most often elected by the legislature
Be considered broadly left-wing in their country
Be a monarch or a monarch's representative/regent
Have been married
Have been in custody
Rule a country that's in the bottom 10% by area
Rule an African country
Rule a country with same-sex marriage
Rule a country that's not a UN member as of market creation
Not rule by heredity, and be related to someone who is or was also a state leader during their lifetime
Come to power as the result of a coup
Be out as LGBTQIA+
Have used a prediction market
84
71
67
57
54
52
50
47
46
43
38
29
25
24
21
9
2029
2030
2031
Demolished
Other
2028
2027
12
7
5
2050-2051
2027-2028
2028-2029
2026-2027
2048-2049
2049-2050
2029-2030
2046-2047
2047-2048
2025-2026
2030-2031
2045-2046
2031-2032
2032-2033
2033-2034
2034-2035
2035-2036
2036-2037
2037-2038
2038-2039
2039-2040
2040-2041
2041-2042
2042-2043
2043-2044
2044-2045
2024-2025
37
10
6
4
2
1
0
100