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Prediction markets for Arm machines
Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
Feb 3, 9:42 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
26.18%
chance
295
113284
Option
Votes
YES
NO
9857
5494
Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026?
Mar 16, 10:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18.71%
chance
29
3104
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2085
480
Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?
Jan 1, 2:17 AM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
11.2%
chance
12
2464
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2816
355
Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
Jun 6, 9:46 PM
Jan 31, 11:59 PM
61.83%
chance
11
2048
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1138
717
Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
Aug 1, 4:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
29.57%
chance
4
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
166
48
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