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Prediction markets for Artemis program
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM
3.69%chance
10429415
OptionVotes
9270
700
When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?
Feb 10, 8:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
4417626
OptionProbability
68
54
34
17
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1391
512
Will Starship fly to orbit more times before Artemis II, than SLS ever flies?
Oct 16, 3:48 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
87.55%chance
107350
OptionVotes
2652
377
Will NASA's Artemis program land astronauts on the moon by the end of 2025?
Oct 11, 12:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
1.21%chance
216129
OptionVotes
4834
851
OptionProbability
54
50
46
41
36
28
18
13
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
5357
737
Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?
Sep 13, 9:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.92%chance
281294
OptionVotes
1765
820
Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?
Jan 18, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.91%chance
201175
OptionVotes
1594
530
Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?
Jan 10, 2:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
61.63%chance
14868
OptionVotes
1071
844
OptionVotes
353
28
OptionProbability
67
18
5
5
5