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Prediction markets for Article II

Will Donald Trump issue Elon Musk a Presidential Pardon while he is in office

Feb 6, 8:52 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

10.61%chance

6813616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2903

344

Who will be granted a presidential pardon before their death?

Mar 26, 3:05 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM

466834

OptionProbability

Hunter Biden

Enrique Tarrio

Joe Biggs

Stewart Rhodes

Kelly Meggs

Ethan Nordean

Dominic Pezzola

George Santos

Donald Trump

Sean 'Diddy' Combs

Chelsea Manning

Edward Snowden

Joe Exotic

Tay-K

Derek Chauvin

Ghislane Maxwell

Julian Assange

Sam Bankman-Fried

Levi Finkelstein

Elizabeth Holmes

R. Kelly

@Mira

Harvey Weinstein

Joe Biden

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

97

68

66

39

34

34

23

20

20

19

13

13

10

8

5

3

2

Will Donald Trump pardon Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs before January 1, 2026?

May 31, 12:05 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

5%chance

466363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Trump leaves office over Epstein files?

Nov 13, 11:48 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

3.27%chance

241698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

544

18

Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 1:01 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

31.27%chance

24783

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

622

Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 1:00 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

16.68%chance

16626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1339

903

War-Powers Notice on Iran Before 31 Dec 2025? (“Declaration of War”)

Jun 18, 2:25 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

22.15%chance

2275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

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