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Prediction markets for Article II

Will Donald Trump issue Elon Musk a Presidential Pardon while he is in office

Feb 6, 8:52 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

19.27%chance

6814472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2047

489

Who will be granted a presidential pardon before their death?

Mar 26, 3:05 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM

466923

OptionProbability

Hunter Biden

Enrique Tarrio

Joe Biggs

Stewart Rhodes

Kelly Meggs

Ethan Nordean

Dominic Pezzola

George Santos

Donald Trump

Sean 'Diddy' Combs

Ghislane Maxwell

Chelsea Manning

Edward Snowden

Joe Exotic

Tay-K

Sam Bankman-Fried

Derek Chauvin

Julian Assange

Levi Finkelstein

Elizabeth Holmes

R. Kelly

@Mira

Harvey Weinstein

Joe Biden

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

97

68

66

40

39

34

34

27

20

20

19

16

12

9

5

3

2

Trump leaves office over Epstein files?

Nov 13, 11:48 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

7%chance

281812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

364

27

Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026

Mar 7, 3:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.38%chance

191419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

467

21

Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 1:01 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

30.64%chance

25798

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

645

Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 1:00 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

16.68%chance

16626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1339

903

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