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Top stories

Neonode Technologies Faces Market Pressure Ahead of Aequitas Settlement Disclosure After August 20 Meeting, Shares Targeted at $2

Neonode Technologies Faces Market Pressure Ahead of Aequitas Settlement Disclosure After August 20 Meeting, Shares Targeted at $2

Authors

3

10 days ago

Prediction markets for Articles of Association

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

51.82%chance

5110184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

912

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

Jun 8, 10:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

203337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2681

373

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.93%chance

131580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

1287

By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?

Jun 16, 8:47 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

11.4%chance

181414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

941

Will over 100,000 people live in the "City Built From Scratch" by "The Silicon Valley Elite" in Solano County in 2030?

Aug 25, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.27%chance

18917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

919

Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?

Nov 21, 3:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10%chance

28895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

943

In what month will China invade Taiwan?

Jun 17, 10:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19840

OptionProbability

Other

Never

April 2028

October 2027

October 2022

October 2024

April 2027

June 2022

July 2022

August 2022

September 2022

November 2022

December 2022

January 2023

February 2023

April 2023

October 2023

April 2024

April 2025

October 2025

April 2026

October 2026

May 2024

June 2024

July 2024

May 2025

June 2025

January 2027

May 2023

44

43

5

4

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Major news report of ideological filtering of would-be resident in Praxis city project (before 2027)

Sep 15, 7:21 AMJan 1, 7:28 AM

72.55%chance

7789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

96

China bans import of US films in 2025?

Apr 9, 5:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.47%chance

17468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

49

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

55.16%chance

7277

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

902

Major news report linking Praxis city project and (neo) Feudalism (before 2027)

Sep 14, 8:07 PMJan 1, 7:28 AM

81.29%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

57

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