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Artifact News

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

Oct 10, 2:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.51%chance

365026

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3100

326

Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)

Jun 9, 4:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

46.41%chance

383803

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

814

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?

Dec 23, 6:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15%chance

283381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

714

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?

Dec 23, 7:50 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30%chance

312388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1032

951

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2030?

Dec 23, 6:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10%chance

231706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1273

931

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Jul 14, 8:55 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

40.18%chance

281561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

983

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2050?

Dec 23, 7:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

42.98%chance

241012

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

812

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2026?

Dec 23, 6:20 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.27%chance

11769

OptionVotes

YES

NO

384

126

Which Manifold Artifact will resell for the greatest amount in 2026?

Dec 7, 5:06 PMDec 31, 4:57 PM

3443

OptionProbability

One crane

kiwis

Other

[none]

Two cranes

Tumbles' Trophy

Bottled Shame

Painting

Mr. Basil

Coal

14

13

13

11

10

10

9

8

8

5

What probability will I assign to the Bnei Menashe being a lost tribe of Israel in 6 months?

Nov 2, 9:15 AMMay 1, 9:14 AM

33.47%chance

2420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2420

1704

Will the definitive function/purpose of the Roman Dodecahedron be identified before March 6th, 2035?

Mar 6, 5:20 PMMar 7, 6:59 AM

45.8%chance

5122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

924

What will be true about TFT set 17? [ADD ANSWERS]

Jan 19, 6:45 PMApr 15, 11:59 PM

130

OptionProbability

At least 1 new artifact

Prismatic summon trait

11-piece trait

6- or 7- cost unit

Exactly 12 4-cost units

Charms-like set mechanic

Ziggs unit

Pandora's bench stays in this set as a gold augment

Threat-like unit

Guild/star guardian-like trait

3-cost hero augment

Unit reprint from set 16

72

59

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

34

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