Artificial Analysis News

Nvidia Unveils 9-Billion-Parameter Nemotron Nano Model With 6× Speed Boost

4 months ago

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

8538513

OptionVotes

YES

987

956

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

3.44%chance

12227376

OptionVotes

YES

10020

1563

Which company has best Text-to-Video AI model end of 2025? (Artificial Analysis Leaderboard)

Dec 18, 7:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

449581

OptionProbability

Runway

Google DeepMind

Kuaishou

OpenAI

ByteDance

Other

MiniMax

Tencent

Genmo

Haiper

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.31%chance

296967

OptionVotes

YES

1324

755

Which company has best Text-to-Image AI model end of 2025? (Artificial Analysis Leaderboard)

Dec 18, 7:21 AMDec 31, 8:09 PM

245278

OptionProbability

Google

ByteDance

OpenAI

Other

Blueberry

Black Forest Labs (FLUX)

Ideogram

Midjourney

Stability.ai

Playground AI

Amazon

HiDream

DeepSeek

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.1%chance

442875

OptionVotes

YES

1175

946

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

YES

1928

630

OpenAI releases SOTA LLM by end of year?

Dec 2, 5:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.25%chance

311271

OptionVotes

YES

117

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.7%chance

4555

OptionVotes

YES

1553

644

❓ If AGI turns out to be a disaster, what will be the main cause?

Aug 3, 5:44 AMAug 8, 3:34 PM

12496

OptionProbability

🧠⚠️ Misaligned goals — AGI misunderstands human values and acts against our interests.

🕵️‍♂️💣 Used by bad actors — hackers, authoritarian regimes, or terrorists weaponize AGI.

🎮❌ Loss of control — humans can't predict or stop AGI’s actions anymore.

🌳💥 Environmental harm — AGI decisions damage ecosystems or speed up climate change.

💼📉 Job loss & chaos — AGI wipes out jobs, leading to mass instability.

Other

🌐🤝 No global coordination — nations or companies rush ahead without cooperation.

👺🐒 Humans are evil — AGI can only align the universe by destroying us.

🤯🔀 Unintended consequences — AGI does something harmful without meaning to.

🛑🔧 Weak safety protocols — not enough safeguards or oversight before release.

🚀💡 Runaway self-improvement — AGI upgrades itself faster than humans can follow.

🧠📲 Misinformation at scale — AGI spreads lies, manipulates societies.

Will an AI be capable of substituting for a high-quality criminal defense lawyer before 2030?

Mar 20, 1:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.89%chance

10240

OptionVotes

YES

240

162

Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?

Jul 4, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.28%chance

6213

OptionVotes

YES

313

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Prediction markets for Artificial Analysis

Prediction markets for Artificial Analysis

Prediction markets for Artificial Analysis

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Which company has best Text-to-Video AI model end of 2025? (Artificial Analysis Leaderboard)

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Which company has best Text-to-Image AI model end of 2025? (Artificial Analysis Leaderboard)

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

OpenAI releases SOTA LLM by end of year?

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

❓ If AGI turns out to be a disaster, what will be the main cause?

Will an AI be capable of substituting for a high-quality criminal defense lawyer before 2030?

Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?

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