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Prediction markets for Asian American

Will a Western team ever win the League of Legends World Championships again?

Nov 19, 2:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.77%chance

102444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

714

Will there be an asian U.S President before 2050?

May 29, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.57%chance

221211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

833

Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?

Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

43.43%chance

17833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

581

Will any Smithsonian museum be closed before EOY 2026?

Mar 28, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73%chance

12599

OptionVotes

NO

YES

164

61

Will there be an Asian-American Republican Nominee before 2060?

Feb 24, 5:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.49%chance

13440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1295

882

Will any "DEI hire" pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?

Jan 15, 7:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.4%chance

15415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

114

Will there be an Asian-American Democratic Nominee before 2060?

Feb 24, 5:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.78%chance

9205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

163

How will the next World War begin?

Oct 14, 12:46 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8131

OptionProbability

Conflict in Asia

Conflict in Europe

Conflict in Africa

Conflict in America

Conflict in Antarctica

76

54

50

43

20

What will be the next presidential “barrier” to be broken?

Jul 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

772

OptionProbability

First woman president

First Latin president

First Slavic/Balkan/Italian president

First Asian president

First Jewish president

72

64

50

41

39

Will there be an Asian-American President of the United States before 2060?

Feb 24, 5:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.13%chance

664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

146

[Manifold demographics] What is your race (using US Census categories, feel free to leave comments for more)?

Mar 1, 3:46 AM

180

How should I plan what college to attend? (Current high schooler, 100M+ bounty)

Jan 4, 6:53 AM

00

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