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Prediction markets for Ask Alpha
Prediction markets for Ask Alpha
If humanity survives this century, what beta will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1st Jan 2024
Jun 13, 11:38 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
17%
chance
3
122
Option
Probability
NO
YES
285
169
If humanity survives this century, what alpha will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1 Jan 2024 (minus one)
Jun 13, 11:45 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
10.03%
chance
0
0
Option
Probability
NO
YES
250
250
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