Ask Google News

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.2%chance

17132633

OptionVotes

YES

14073

7523

Will space be the cheapest place to put AI by end of Feb 2029?

Feb 16, 4:26 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

10.56%chance

10821682

OptionVotes

YES

2910

344

OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?

Feb 11, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.95%chance

13613497

OptionVotes

YES

1459

685

AI bypass coding entirely by EOY 2027?

Feb 12, 2:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.47%chance

5211082

OptionVotes

YES

4157

241

Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?

Jul 10, 12:58 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

48.54%chance

476234

OptionVotes

YES

1239

531

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.44%chance

555211

OptionVotes

YES

1461

556

What will the prevailing sentiment be about Rapamycin as a longevity drug in 2028?

Aug 4, 9:29 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM

121955

OptionProbability

Unproven but promising: Too early to tell

Ineffective: Any benefits are too small to be worth the drawbacks

Valuable but imperfect: Some healthy adults should consider it, but there are major drawbacks

Harmful/scandalous: Clear serious drawbacks that last beyond cessation of treatment

Wonder-drug: Most adults should consider it

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Jul 4, 3:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73.79%chance

321826

OptionVotes

YES

1595

604

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Dec 16, 5:23 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM

38.74%chance

17460

OptionVotes

YES

1116

1014

Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”?

Oct 18, 10:08 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

76.06%chance

13383

OptionVotes

YES

1225

875

Android assistant which can answer repetitive questions for me available free before 2031

Jun 7, 2:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

83.47%chance

22355

OptionVotes

YES

1098

964

Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)

Feb 27, 10:06 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

65%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

1108

924

Ask Google News

Prediction markets for Ask Google

Prediction markets for Ask Google

Prediction markets for Ask Google

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Will space be the cheapest place to put AI by end of Feb 2029?

OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?

AI bypass coding entirely by EOY 2027?

Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

What will the prevailing sentiment be about Rapamycin as a longevity drug in 2028?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”?

Android assistant which can answer repetitive questions for me available free before 2031

Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)

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