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Prediction markets for Ask Meta AI
Prediction markets for Ask Meta AI
Will a frontier AI lab publicly report catching one of its own models gaming a safety evaluation before the end of 2027?
Oct 30, 4:24 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
76%
chance
4
96
Option
Votes
NO
YES
178
56
By EOY 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full movie based on the user's algorithmically observed preferences?
Oct 13, 9:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.23%
chance
3
45
Option
Votes
YES
NO
145
69
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
Jul 16, 1:51 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
50%
chance
1
24
Option
Votes
NO
YES
124
67
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