Ask While Reading News

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

35.43%chance

282109561

OptionVotes

YES

1039

902

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.55%chance

8250361

OptionVotes

YES

28550

2982

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

17445547

OptionVotes

YES

1585

1297

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Sep 21, 9:08 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM

73.09%chance

10537099

OptionVotes

YES

16481

6067

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

95.93%chance

10423743

OptionVotes

YES

9935

742

Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?

Jul 10, 12:58 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

47.26%chance

486254

OptionVotes

YES

1259

512

What will my beliefs about unsolved mysteries be in 2045?

Mar 16, 11:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

206046

OptionProbability

The existence of Dark Matter explains the anomaly in galaxy rotation curves (85%)

COVID-19 was natural in origin (80%).

The Lost Colony of Roanoke colonists have living decedents (55%)

The Mar Saba letter discovered by Morton Smith and containing excerpts from the "Secret Gospel of Mark" is a modern forgery (25%)

D.B. Cooper survived his parachute jump and escaped (30%)

JonBenét Ramsey was killed by a member of her family (10%)

Lizzie Borden killed her parents (10%)

Aaron Kosminski was Jack the Ripper (35%)

The Hubble Tension can be resolved without new physics or changes to cosmological models (55%)

The Voynich manuscript is a meaningful text (15%)

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

May 29, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.5%chance

534616

OptionVotes

YES

1378

726

LessOnline 2027 will use brand new event software

May 28, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.82%chance

81521

OptionVotes

YES

1419

705

Is astrology a "gateway pseudoscience"?

Aug 20, 11:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

67.23%chance

45885

OptionVotes

YES

1167

886

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Dec 16, 5:23 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM

38.86%chance

18462

OptionVotes

YES

1113

1016

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.93%chance

7176

OptionVotes

YES

1107

903

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Prediction markets for Ask While Reading

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?

What will my beliefs about unsolved mysteries be in 2045?

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

LessOnline 2027 will use brand new event software

Is astrology a "gateway pseudoscience"?

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

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