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Prediction markets for asset

Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29

Nov 18, 5:55 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

21.15%chance

920640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15064

108

Will Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset by 2030?

Jul 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.35%chance

3110561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2010

1984

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM

41.25%chance

543032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1379

426

🪙Which crypto coins or assets will be delisted from Coinbase before the end of 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 15, 2:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

171557

OptionProbability

Tron TRX

SuperRare RARE

Zcash ZEC

Seamless SEAM

Pluton PLU

0x Protocol ZRX

Decentraland MANA

Badger DAO BADGER

Golem GLM

Tezos XTZ

Solana SOL

Basic Attention Token BAT

Bitcoin BTC

Ethereum ETH

96

76

56

50

50

50

50

50

34

27

10

9

1

1

Is Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?

Mar 10, 11:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.36%chance

12812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

170

Will Sam Altman have more than $10Bn in assets before 2030?

Nov 22, 10:44 PMJan 29, 11:59 PM

82.91%chance

15647

OptionVotes

NO

YES

283

57

Will the next Super Smash Bros. game significantly reuse assets from Ultimate?

Jun 11, 12:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.64%chance

12598

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1480

676

By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.

Dec 20, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.98%chance

12314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

77

Will conclusive evidence emerge before 2030 that Viktor Orbán is a Russian asset?

Mar 7, 12:12 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

36.36%chance

10234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Was Snowden a Russian Asset? (ie did he communicate with Russian intelligence before fleeing the US)

May 4, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.69%chance

8160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

121

Which assets will outperform SPY over the next 5 years?

Nov 14, 12:25 PMDec 31, 12:20 PM

3102

OptionProbability

QQQ

BRK.B

NVDA

TSM

STIP

TLT

59

54

50

50

37

34

When will MTG will start becoming less of a collectible assets ?

Apr 20, 2:43 PMApr 27, 2:43 PM

16.09%chance

281

OptionProbability

YES

NO

371

272

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