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Prediction markets for Association Agreement

Will Amit fail to repay any loan by the end of the loan term?

May 8, 5:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.97%chance

1811433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

US nukes Iran in 2025?

Jun 20, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.21%chance

298402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6656

150

Salary withheld for 5000 full time US federal government employees on or before December 31, 2025

Feb 2, 8:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.33%chance

146906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14718

5388

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2025?

Nov 12, 11:10 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.52%chance

366562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5315

689

Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026?

Dec 24, 2:36 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4.87%chance

366456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1422

375

End of war Israel-Palestine before 2026

Jul 29, 6:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.55%chance

375766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1622

617

Will Greenland enter into a Compact of Free Association (COFA) with the United States before 2030?

Dec 23, 10:24 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

24.57%chance

151295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1752

571

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.9%chance

8548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

498

108

Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027?

Jan 21, 10:07 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

80.69%chance

4316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

949

Will the 2027 MLB season be delayed due to issues over the new CBA?

Feb 14, 10:33 PMApr 11, 3:59 AM

54.75%chance

210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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