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Prediction markets for Astronaut

Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?

Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

1.37%chance

11342716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18183

497

Will any non-astronaut be "commuting to the moon" before 2040?

Aug 17, 10:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.47%chance

267066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13697

8739

Will private astronauts land on the moon within 5 years of NASA astronauts or earlier?

Sep 3, 4:53 PMJan 10, 11:59 PM

72.34%chance

473277

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1587

615

Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?

Jan 10, 2:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39%chance

252880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

455

Who will send the next astronauts to the moon?

Oct 11, 12:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

282006

OptionProbability

The United States

China

Private Space Company

Russia

India

Other

56

42

2

0

0

0

Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?

Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.23%chance

281788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

980

Will there be a Juggalo astronaut by the end of 2040?

Mar 28, 10:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.44%chance

18915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

886

Will a Japanese astronaut land on Moon by 2035?

Mar 11, 11:13 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

65.5%chance

18606

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

862

Will India's Gaganyaan spacecraft carry an astronaut to orbit before 2030?

Feb 26, 5:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

79.31%chance

12596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1369

832

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

119

Will NASA astronauts be walking on the Moon by July 20th, 2029?

Aug 20, 1:24 AMAug 21, 3:59 AM

30%chance

11290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will a Chinese Taikonaut walk on the Moon within one year of the next US Astronaut to do so?

Feb 26, 10:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

55.16%chance

9236

OptionVotes

NO

YES

275

150

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