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Prediction markets for Astronaut

Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?

Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

1.37%chance

11342716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18167

497

Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.

Aug 9, 1:43 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1%chance

5819688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13391

469

Will private astronauts land on the moon within 5 years of NASA astronauts or earlier?

Sep 3, 4:53 PMJan 10, 11:59 PM

72.41%chance

463276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1590

614

Will astronaut Jeremy Hansen be the first Canadian to orbit the moon?

Apr 10, 5:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.73%chance

263206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

923

803

Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?

Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.23%chance

281788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

980

Will there be a Juggalo astronaut by the end of 2040?

Mar 28, 10:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.44%chance

18915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

886

Will a Japanese astronaut land on Moon by 2035?

Mar 11, 11:13 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

65.5%chance

18606

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

862

Will India's Gaganyaan spacecraft carry an astronaut to orbit before 2030?

Feb 26, 5:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

79.31%chance

12596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1369

832

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

119

Will NASA astronauts be walking on the Moon by July 20th, 2029?

Aug 20, 1:24 AMAug 21, 3:59 AM

30%chance

11290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Who will be the last surviving Apollo astronaut? (both among moonwalkers and non-moonwalkers)

Dec 24, 7:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8247

OptionProbability

Charles Duke

Harrison Schmitt

James A. Lovell Jr.

Fred W. Haise Jr.

Buzz Aldrin

David Scott

Other

Frank Borman

Thomas K. Mattingly II

Thomas Stafford

29

19

15

12

9

5

4

3

2

2

When will a Chinese astronaut first set foot on Mars? (by decade)

Oct 30, 9:16 PMNov 7, 10:59 AM

220

OptionProbability

2040s

2030s

Other

46

32

21

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