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Prediction markets for Astronaut

Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?

Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

2.36%chance

10832776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12589

599

Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.

Aug 9, 1:43 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.79%chance

5510907

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4658

636

Will private astronauts land on the moon within 5 years of NASA astronauts or earlier?

Sep 3, 4:53 PMJan 10, 11:59 PM

72.41%chance

463276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1590

614

Will astronaut Jeremy Hansen be the first Canadian to orbit the moon?

Apr 10, 5:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.73%chance

263206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

923

803

Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?

Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.23%chance

281788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

980

Which of the following countries will the next astronaut to set foot on the moon represent?

Oct 9, 4:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

201112

OptionProbability

China

USA

India

Russia

50

49

1

0

Will there be a Juggalo astronaut by the end of 2040?

Mar 28, 10:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.44%chance

18915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

886

Will a Japanese astronaut land on Moon by 2035?

Mar 11, 11:13 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

65.5%chance

18606

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

862

Will India's Gaganyaan spacecraft carry an astronaut to orbit before 2030?

Feb 26, 5:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

79.31%chance

12596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1369

832

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

119

Who will be the last surviving Apollo astronaut who walked on the moon?

Dec 24, 5:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5356

OptionProbability

Harrison Hagan Schmitt

David Scott

Buzz Aldrin

Other

Charles Duke Jr

meh

41

31

15

7

5

1

Process formally started to overhaul the Rescue Agreement [for astronauts] before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Nov 6, 8:44 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

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