at Max News

[AUS] A Driver DNF due to reliability problems (e.g., engine, power unit etc.)

[AUS] Red flag during qualifying

[AUS] At least 3 DNF

[AUS] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)

[TEST] Cadillac sets the slowest lap time of the whole testing session

[AUS] P1 & P2 by same team

[AUS] winner has no WDC title

[AUS] Audi reaches Q2 (Qualifying)

[AUS] Ferrari finishes on the podium

[AUS] An Audi driver finishes in top 10 (race)

[AUS] Verstappen finishes in top 10 (race)

[CHN] Yellow flag first lap Sprint

[CHN] Yellow flag first lap main race

[CHN] Ferrari on the podium of the sprint race

[CHN] Bearman scores points in the sprint race (top 8)

[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main qualifying

[CHN] VSC or Physical Safety car during the sprint race

[CHN] A Ferrari is P1 at the end of lap 1 (main race)

[CHN] Physical Safety Car during the main race

[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race

[CHN] Bearman scores points in the main race (top 10)

[CHN] 5 or more DNF in the main race

[JAP] Physical Safety Car during the race

[JAP] Team other than Mercedes or Ferrari gets a podium

[JAP] Antonelli wins the race

[MIA] Non-Mercedes pole position in sprint qualifying

[MIA] McLaren 1-2 in the sprint race

[MIA] Leclerc podium in the sprint race

[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the main race

[MIA] A Mercedes finishes outside the top 5 in the sprint race

[MIA] Gasly reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)

[MIA] Antonelli wins the main race

[MIA] A McLaren on the podium in the main race

[MIA] Race start time is changed or cancelled due to weather conditions

[CAN] Three different teams on the podium (main race)

[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint qualifying

[CAN] Red flag during sprint qualifying

[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the sprint race

[CAN] 5 or more DNS/DNF in the main race

[CAN] An Alpine finishes in top 10 in the main race

[CAN] Hamilton finishes on podium in the main race

[CAN] Hamilton outfinishes Verstappen (main race)

[MON] Pole Sitter wins the race

[MON] Red flag during qualifying

[MON] Red flag during the race

[MON] A driver overtakes their teammate on track

[MON] Safety car (non-virtual) during the race

[MON] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds

[MON] Three different teams on the podium

[MON] Hadjar finishes in top 5 (race)

[MON] A Williams scores points (top 10)

[MON] 3 or more DNF/DNS

[BAR] An Audi reaches Q3

[BAR] Hamilton on the podium

[BAR] Verstappen finishes in top 5

[BAR] 3 or more DNF/DNS

[BAR] At least one driver that finishes in top 5 does 3 pit stops (or more)

[BAR] At least one podium finisher from team other than Ferrari or Mercedes

[AUT] Qualifying lap invalidated due to track limits

[AUT] Both Ferraris in top 5 in qualifying

[AUT] Both Racing Bulls finish in top 10 (race)

[GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race

[GBR] Sprint race is won by a driver ranked top-8 in the championship

[GBR] Yellow flag first lap (main race)

[GBR] Both Ferraris in top 4 in the main qualifying

[GBR] Both Ferraris finish the main race in top 4

[GBR] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (main race)

[GBR] Both Racing Bulls finish the main race in top 10

[GBR] Antonelli and Russel gap within 10 seconds at the end of the main race

[SPA] Red flag in qualifying

[SPA] Antonelli wins the race

[SPA] An Audi reaches Q3

[SPA] Physical Safety Car during the race

[SPA] A Ferrari on the podium

[SPA] Hadjar finishes the race in top 10

[SPA] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton

[SPA] Yellow flag first lap

[HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[HUN] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds

[HUN] An Aston Martin reaches Q2

[HUN] An Audi reaches Q3

[HUN] Russel qualifies outside the top 4

[HUN] Antonelli on the podium

[HUN] Hulkenberg finishes the race in top 10

[HUN] Both Racing Bulls finish the race in top 10

[ZAN] Leclerc on the podium of the sprint race

[ZAN] Non-Mercedes pole position (main qualifying)

[ZAN] Gasly finishes in top 10 in the main race

[ITA] Physical Safety Car during the race

[ITA] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[ITA] Italian driver wins the race

[ITA] Red Flag during the race

[ITA] Yuki Tsunoda scores a point

[ITA] Antonelli finishes the race in top 6

[MAD] Yellow flag first lap of the race

[MAD] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[MAD] Kimi Antonelli wins the race

[MAD] Russel qualifies outside the top 5

[MAD] Verstappen on the podium

[MAD] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton

[MAD] Colapinto scores points

[MAD] Linblad scores points

[MAD] An Audi scores points

[MAD] Three different teams on the podium

[AZE] Physical Safety Car during the race

[AZE] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[AZE] Verstappen on podium

[AZE] A Williams finishes in top 10

[BHR] Intermediate or Wet tyres used in qualifying or race

[BHR] Physical Safety Car during the race

[BHR] Antonelli scores more points than Russell

[BHR] Verstappen wins the race

[BHR] Aston Martin scores at least one point

[BHR] An Alpine reaches Q3

[BHR] An Audi reaches Q3

[BHR] Hadjar finishes ahead of Russel

[BHR] Lawson scores points

[BHR] A Ferrari on the podium

[SIN] Same driver wins Sprint and feature race

[SIN] 3+ DNF in Sprint

[SIN] Same driver takes pole in the sprint and main qualifying

[SIN] A Ferrari on the podium of the sprint race

[SIN] A Ferrari on the podium of the main race

[SIN] Hadjar finishes in top 10 in the main race

[COTA] A Ferrari on the podium

[MEX] Physical Safety Car during the race

[MEX] Kimi Antonelli wins the WDC Title

[MEX] Red flag during qualifying

[MEX] 4 or more DNF

[MEX] Verstappen on the podium

[MEX] Yellow flag first lap

[MEX] GP winner margin is less than 5 seconds

[BRA] Red Flag during qualifying

[BRA] Intermediate or Wet tyres used during qualifying

[BHR] Yellow flag first lap

[BRA] Impeding penalty during qualifying

Leave it open for the upcoming GP (tip jar)

[BRA] Brazilian driver reaches Q3

[AUS] Physical Safety Car during the race

[AUS] Yellow flag first lap

[AUS] Both Aston Martins qualify in the last row (21st and 22nd)

[TEST] Cadillac in the top 5 of the timesheets on any single day

[TEST] Ferrari sets the most laps during the whole testing session

[TEST] Mercedes sets the fastest lap time of the whole testing session

[TEST] First red flag caused by a driver error/spin etc. (not mechanical failure)

[AUS] Both Aston Martins retire after formation lap before race start

[AUS] The car finishing on P5 gets lapped

[AUS] Both Aston Martins don't finish the race

[AUS] Hadjar finishes on the podium

[CHN] Ferrari qualifies 1st or 2nd in the sprint qualifying (at least one driver)

[CHN] Red flag during sprint qualifying

[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race

[CHN] Gasly scores points in the sprint race (top 8)

[CHN] An Audi reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)

[CHN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race

[CHN] An Audi scores points in the main race (top 10)

[CHN] A Red Bull Racing driver finishes in top 5 (main race)

[CHN] Winner wins by 11.00 seconds or more?

[JAP] Both Aston Martins DNF

[JAP] Yellow flag first lap

[JAP] Red flag in qualifying

[JAP] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[JAP] Team other than Mercedes gets pole position in qualifying

[JAP] Bearman reaches Q3

[JAP] 5 or more DNF (including DNS)

[JAP] Linblad scores points (top 10)

[JAP] Bortoleto scores points (top 10)

[JAP] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (face)

[JAP] A McLaren retires/DNS due to reliability issues

[JAP] Verstappen on the podium

[MIA] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying

[MIA] Red flag during sprint qualifying

[MIA] Colapinto scores points in the sprint race

[MIA] Hadjar scores points in the sprint race

[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the sprint race

[MIA] McLaren pole position in qualifying for the main race

[MIA] Red flag during qualifying for the main race

[MIA] A Mercedes qualifies outside the top 5 (main race qualifying)

[MIA] Hadjar doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)

[MIA] Verstappen on the Podium in the main race

[MIA] 5 or more DNF/DNS

[MIA] Both Ferrari finish in top 6 in the main race

[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the main race

[CAN] An Audi reaches SQ3 (Sprint Qualifying)

[CAN] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying

[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race

[CAN] A Ferrari on the podium in the sprint race

[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the sprint race

[CAN] Yellow flag in the first lap of the sprint race

[CAN] Sainz scores points in the sprint race (top 8)

[CAN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race

[CAN] Red flag during qualifying for the main race

[CAN] An Audi reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)

[CAN] A Williams reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)

[CAN] Yellow flag first lap of the main race

[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race

[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the main race

[CAN] Linblad scores points in the main race

[CAN] An Audi finishes in top 10 in the main race

[CAN] Oscar Piastri Finishes on Podium in the Main Race

[CAN] English broadcoast shows Colapinto's onboard camera view in the main race

[CAN] 7 or more DNS/DNF in the main race

[CAN] Piastri scores points in the main race

[MON] 5 or more on-track overtakes

[MON] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[MON] Wet or intermediate tyres used during the race

[MON] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)

[BAR] Physical Safety Car during the race

[BAR] Yellow flag in the first lap of the race

[BAR] Mercedes driver wins

[BAR] Both McLaren qualify in top 4

[BAR] Antonelli pole position in qualifying

[BAR] Hulkenberg scores points (top 10)

[BAR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race

[BAR] Both Mercedes drivers on podium

[AUT] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qual or race

[AUT] Red flag during qualifying

[AUT] Physical safety car during the race

[AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[AUT] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying

[AUT] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds

[AUT] An Audi reaches Q3

[AUT] Both Ferraris on the podium (race)

[AUT] Antonelli finishes ahead of Russel (race)

[AUT] Gasly finishes on top 10 (race)

[AUT] At least 2 drivers that finish in the top 5 did 3 or more pit stops during the race

[AUT] An Audi finishes in top 10 (race)

[AUT] 5 or more DNF/DNS

[AUT] Russel and Antonelli collide during the race

[AUT] Yellow flag first lap

[GBR] All three tire compounds used on starting grid (main race)

[GBR] All 22 cars classified in the race

[GBR] Wet or Intermediate tyres used in any of quals or races (sprint and main)

[GBR] The same driver wins both races

[GBR] Red flag during the main race

[GBR] Same pole sitter in both the sprint qualifying and the main qualifying

[GBR] Pole position margin for the main qualifying is less than 50 milliseconds

[GBR] Hamilton wins the sprint race

[GBR] Both Ferraris on the podium of the sprint race

[GBR] Hadjar finishes in top 8 in the sprint race

[GBR] Physical or Virtual Safety Car in the sprint race

[GBR] Russel qualfies 5th or lower in the main qualifying

[GBR] An Audi reaches Q3 (main qualifying)

[GBR] 4 or more DNF/DNS (main race)

[GBR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the main race

[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying

[SPA] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qualifying or race

[SPA] 5 or more DNF/DNS

[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in the race

[SPA] Norris finishes the race in top 6

[SPA] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race

[HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race

[HUN] Yellow flag first lap

[HUN] Red Flag during qualifying

[HUN] 4 or more DNF/DNS

[HUN] Ferrari pole position

[HUN] Both Racing Bulls reach Q3

[HUN] Video drone hits the sign over the track around turns 8-10

[HUN] A Ferrari on the podium

[HUN] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race

[HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race

[ZAN] Yuki Tsunoda scores at least one point (sprint counts)

[ZAN] Yuki Tsunoda finishes either sprint or feature race ahead of Lawson

[ZAN] Same winner of the sprint and main race

[ZAN] Red flag during sprint qualifying or main qualifying

[ZAN] Ferrari pole position in the sprint qualifying

[ZAN] Antonelli scores more points than Russell over the entire weekend

[ZAN] Antonelli on the podium of the sprint race

[ZAN] Non-Mercedes driver wins the sprint race

[ZAN] Physical safety car during the main race

[ZAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the main race

[ZAN] Antonelli and Russel collide during the main race

[ZAN] Bortoleto finishes in top 10 in the main race

[ZAN] first and second driver finish with a gap of less than 5 seconds in the main race

[ITA] Red Flag during qualifying

[ITA] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds

[ITA] Ferrari driver wins the race

[ITA] Aston Martin driver scores points

[ITA] Hadjar drives in the race

[ITA] Wet or intermediate tyres used in qual or race

[ITA] Gasly finishes the race in top 5

[ITA] Bearman scores points (top 10)

[ITA] A Ferrari on the podium

[ITA] Leclerc finishes the race ahead of Hamilton

[MAD] Leclerc misses race

[MAD] Red flag during qualifying or race

[MAD] Physical Safety Car during the race

[MAD] Carlos Sainz scores points

[MAD] At least five cars retire (DNF)

[MAD] Hamilton scores more points than Russell

[MAD] Leclerc crashes during any session and cannot participate in the rest of that session (FP, qualy or race)

[MAD] At least one car will be disqualified due to plank wear. Doesn't matter if they later get reinstated

[MAD] An Audi reaches Q3

[MAD] A Ferrari on the podium

[MAD] Antonelli leads at the end of the first lap of the main race

[AZE] Red Flag during qualifying or race

[AZE] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying

[AZE] One Aston Martin finishes the race (lapped ok)

[AZE] Lewis Hamilton finishes ahead of Charles Leclerc (race)

[AZE] Kimi Antonelli scores more points than George Russel

[AZE] An Audi reaches Q3

[AZE] A Ferrari on the podium

[AZE] Antonelli on the podium

[BHR] At least 5 cars DNS/DNF

[BHR] Mercedes double podium

[BHR] Three WDC winners on podium

[BHR] One team qualifies P1 and P2

[BHR] RBR double podium

[BHR] At least one car retires due to a collision with another car

[SIN] RBR double podium in main race

[SIN] Antonelli wins main race

[SIN] Aston scores at least one point over the weekend

[SIN] 5+ DNF in feature race

[SIN] Red Flag in the main qualifying

[SIN] Impeding penalty during the main qualifying

[SIN] Physical Safety Car during the main race

[SIN] Russel finishes the main race in top 6

[SIN] Both Racing Bulls score points in the main race

[SIN] Bearman scores points in the main race

[SIN] Sainz scores points in the main race

[SIN] Intermediate or wet tyres used in the main race

[COTA] Physical Safety Car during the race

[COTA] Red flag during qualifying

[COTA] Antonelli secures WDC

[COTA] A McLaren driver on the podium

[COTA] Max Verstappen wins the race

[COTA] A Ferrari qualifies P1 or P2

[COTA] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[COTA] A Haas reaches Q3

[COTA] Race winner has 2 or more tire changes

[COTA] Haas score at least 1 point

[COTA] An Audi finishes the race in top 10

[COTA] Hadjar on the podium

[COTA] Both Racing Bulls score points

[COTA] 4 or more DNF

[MEX] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[MEX] Both Ferraris on the podium

[MEX] Piastri finishes outside the top 10

[MEX] An Audi scores points

M. "We'll make the AI do our AI alignment homework" just works as a plan. (Eg the helping AI doesn't need to be smart enough to be deadly; the alignment proposals that most impress human judges are honest and truthful and successful.)

B. Humanity puts forth a tremendous effort, and delays AI for long enough, and puts enough desperate work into alignment, that alignment gets solved first.

J. Something 'just works' on the order of eg: train a predictive/imitative/generative AI on a human-generated dataset, and RLHF her to be unfailingly nice, generous to weaker entities, and determined to make the cosmos a lovely place.

I. The tech path to AGI superintelligence is naturally slow enough and gradual enough, that world-destroyingly-critical alignment problems never appear faster than previous discoveries generalize to allow safe further experimentation.

O. Early applications of AI/AGI drastically increase human civilization's sanity and coordination ability; enabling humanity to solve alignment, or slow down further descent into AGI, etc. (Not in principle mutex with all other answers.)

C. Solving prosaic alignment on the first critical try is not as difficult, nor as dangerous, nor taking as much extra time, as Yudkowsky predicts; whatever effort is put forth by the leading coalition works inside of their lead time.

Something wonderful happens that isn't well-described by any option listed. (The semantics of this option may change if other options are added.)

K. Somebody discovers a new AI paradigm that's powerful enough and matures fast enough to beat deep learning to the punch, and the new paradigm is much much more alignable than giant inscrutable matrices of floating-point numbers.

H. Many competing AGIs form an equilibrium whereby no faction is allowed to get too powerful, and humanity is part of this equilibrium and survives and gets a big chunk of cosmic pie.

D. Early powerful AGIs realize that they wouldn't be able to align their own future selves/successors if their intelligence got raised further, and work honestly with humans on solving the problem in a way acceptable to both factions.

E. Whatever strange motivations end up inside an unalignable AGI, or the internal slice through that AGI which codes its successor, they max out at a universe full of cheerful qualia-bearing life and an okay outcome for existing humans.

F. Somebody pulls off a hat trick involving blah blah acausal blah blah simulations blah blah, or other amazingly clever idea, which leads an AGI to put the reachable galaxies to good use despite that AGI not being otherwise alignable.

A. Humanity successfully coordinates worldwide to prevent the creation of powerful AGIs for long enough to develop human intelligence augmentation, uploading, or some other pathway into transcending humanity's window of fragility.

G. It's impossible/improbable for something sufficiently smarter and more capable than modern humanity to be created, that it can just do whatever without needing humans to cooperate; nor does it successfully cheat/trick us.

L. Earth's present civilization crashes before powerful AGI, and the next civilization that rises is wiser and better at ops. (Exception to 'okay' as defined originally, will be said to count as 'okay' even if many current humans die.)

N. A crash project at augmenting human intelligence via neurotech, training mentats via neurofeedback, etc, produces people who can solve alignment before it's too late, despite Earth civ not slowing AI down much.

If you write an argument that breaks down the 'okay outcomes' into lots of distinct categories, without breaking down internal conjuncts and so on, Reality is very impressed with how disjunctive this sounds and allocates more probability.

YES

Stretch-and-fold after mixing, 3x every 30 min

3 iterations of stretch-and-fold, at any time during the 14h waiting period. Minimum wait time between iterations 1 hour

Place small ice cubes between parchment and pot instead of water

Add 1tsp of diastatic malt powder per 3cps of flour

Use tap water instead of fancy RO water

put butter into it

Toast the bread

Put a non-lethal dose of any rat poison.

Donate the bread to a food pantry, homeless person, or someone else in need

Add lots of butter (0.2 ml per gram)

Half yeast

Bake it with your best friend.

Use whole wheat to improve the nutrition of the bread

Bake for 5 more minutes

Bake for an amount of minutes equal to the percent this market answer is at when it comes time to begin baking. (Maintain the ±3 minute tolerances and the 2:1 ratio of time before:after the water spritz.)

Sprinkle 3 grams of flaky sea salt on top of each loaf before the second bake

Increase water by 50 g

it needs more salt

Replace all water spritz steps with a basting of extra virgin olive oil.

Diastatic malt (~1% baker's percentage) = happier yeast

Serve the bread hot

Use Iodized salt

Do a second rise

Don't eat anything for at least 48 hours before eating the bread

Create indentation, fill with melted cheese and butter

Add garlic

Sprinkle sesame seeds evenly over the top

don't eat anything for at least 2400 hours before eating the bread

Cut into the dough right before baking looks destructive to improve the appearance

Sell your bread at an auction and donate the money to those in immigration detention prisons.

Don't eat anything for at least 24 hours before eating the bread

Do it with a good spirit in your heart, or ask someone with a good spirit to do it for you. But don’t watch while they do it.

Give ChatGPT your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake

Strawberry jelly filling

Do all the changes in the top 5 open options by probability, excluding this option

Add an amount of non-smoked paprika equal to the current salt content

Short advice: Start baking at 260°C for strong rise, then reduce to 230°C and uncover halfway to achieve even browning and a crisp crust. 🍞

Don't automatically "Heat water to 30±1 °C". Instead, aim for a desired dough temperature (DDT) of 25-26°C. 30°C water is too hot for summer, and potentially too cool for winter.

Use the same dough bake it as focaccia. Flat with EVOO added during shaped rise and baste with EVOO instead of spraying water during baking.

Buy bread from a michelin star restaurant.

put ketchup and cheese on it

Use sourdough instead of yeast

Add slurs to it

Make all of the ingredients from scratch.

Just freeze the ready bread, then slowly bake it until it’s hot inside. It will give you a crustier crumb, contain less moisture, and taste better.

Ask ChatGPT (GPT-5, with thinking enabled) for suggestions on improving the bread, with this market description, then do all of them.

Get recipe from gemini with experiments done, taste preference, then confirm it with chatgpt for final suggestion.

Try baking a little more "bien cuit". If the image is indicative, your loaves may be quite "blonde".

Substitute 75 g of your flour with spelt flour

Make the bread taste good

Invest in a "Bakers Steel" for better heat retention and oven spring. It would mean graduating from a dutch oven though.

If your city uses artesian water, replace plastic bottled water with tap water. It will add natural, healthy alkalinity to your bread.

throw your recipe into a black box Bayesian hyperparameter optimization framework and iterate as necessary (see the Google Vizier Cookie Recipe paper for example

Watch the video

Ditch current process, do everything the same as the video

Bread flour, 3x yeast, cut rise to ~3h

Use lemonade instead of water.

Eat the bread while punching @realDonaldTrump in the face

Eat the bread while watching your mana balance steadily tick to (M)0

Throw the bread at a telescope

Cut bread into loaves before serving

Cut bread into ≤0.4inch slices, toast before serving

Invite your taste-testers to make the bread with you

Tarriff the bread-making process with a 10% reduction of all ingredients where actual physical money is required to purchase them, until it “shrinkflates,” but try to keep the same volume. Do not reduce any free ingredients.

Standardize a separate list of process features to keep track of independently of all other tests and use the cross entropy method to tune them to maximize your bread preference

Taste the bread

put oats on top of the dough just before baking, press them in so they don't fall off

Buy chemical bread improvers

Add 6.25±1.25 g lemon juice when mixing in water to yeast and salt jug

add 'gunpowder' (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Idli_podi)

Make banana bread

Put a baking rack in the Dutch oven before putting the loaf in, raising the loaf off the floor and lofting it over a layer of air.

Add 1/2 scoop whey protein powder

Replace part of the flour in the dough with freshly crushed hemp seeds. It will make the bread a little bit sweeter, especially appealing for Canadians.

Add cheese inside it and also sausage

Add melatonin to the bread and eat before you sleep (do safely)

Eat it slowly and focus on the taste

While the bread is baking, tip every user who voted "Yes" on this option 25 Mana

Use a food-grade, human-approved vitamin D supplement in the correct dosage for testers with vitamin D deficiency

Use a convection oven/setting

Keep the bread in a high quality expensive beeswax coated textile bag

Complete 5 items from your to-do list while the bread is rising

Make the bread great again

Mix only flour and water. Wait 30–60 minutes. Then mix in yeast and salt.

Add caffeine to the bread

Use soda instead of water (clear, orange, yellow, etc. soda is ok. Don’t use a purple/brown soda as that would make it not look good)

Butter resolved yes twice. Double butter again.

Decompose it into infinite spheres, then a few parts per sphere, rotate the spheres by arccos(1/3), unite them and you will find 2 chilis (Banach-Tarski)

Give Gemini your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake

Bake the Manifold Crane into the Bread

Make the bread edible then throw it in

Drink vodka while eating the bread

Bake the bread into a fun shape, like a fish, or an octagon

Do FOLDED

Quit Manifold into the bread.

Kill the bread into Manifold.

Assume the chili is not in the interval [0,1], square it for more chili, if it is in (0,1), take the square root, else (equals 0 or 1) add 1 to it.

Assume the chili is in the interval (0,1), square it for less chili, if it is in (1,infinity) take the square root, if it is in (-infinity,0) take the negative of the square of the of the chile, else (equals 0 or 1) subtract 1 from it.

Add 2 tbsp vanilla cake mix

Replace AP with bread flour and cruelly mix the dough in the mixer until elastic and not sticky

Add a tablespoon of sugar

Bake one more minute

Follow a recipe online

Grind/powderize all salt used into a fine powder (with pestle & mortar or similar device)

Instead of RO water, use lightly rusty water to improve the nutritional value of the bread with soluble iron.

Add at least 20% chic pea flour or some other type of high protein flour

Knead it only 10 times, keep it round like this number

Substitute 10% cricket flour

replace 10% of flour with farina bona

Ask yourself if bread is healthier than fruits? No need to improve my bread

Bake for 15 more minutes

Resolve at least one thing here yes or no while baking bread

A system view is more appropriate. This is a dynamic, multi-variate, biological and chemical system. For e.g. conditioning salt % AND yeast % AND water temperature based on ingredient and ambient temps.

Wear a suit while baking the cake.

Encourage people to participate in the market in good faith while making the bread

Replace salt with sugar

Have someone sell the bread to you at an expensive price

Cook the bread with a rod/puck of aluminum foil (or similar) in the core in an attempt to conduct heat through the center of the bread, cooking it evenly like a doughnut.

Get your friends to help you make a batch ten times the size, but add a Pepper X (2.7M Scoville heat units) to the mixture

Slowly add sawdust to the bread until your friends start to notice.

Replace all water spritz steps with a basting of gravy that includes chicken stock

Mail the bread to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. Washington D.C.

Replace 600+/-5g water with 600+/-50g water (eyeball rather than carefully measure)

Replace 10% of flour with milled wheat bran

Pray to your preferred agricultural/food deity before baking and before eating

Ship a piece of the bread to a random person.

Frost it and put sprinkles on it to make it a birthday cake.

Soak the finished product in vinegar for 24 hours

Only buy ingredients from 7/11.

Add as many Jack Daniel's whiskey barrel smoking chips as feasible to the Dutch oven before baking, physically separating them from the bread as necessary while baking.

Give the bread a name in a ritual ceremony and baptise it, with pre-blessed holy water if a priest isn't available

Improve the bread

Quadruple salt

Bake your social security number into it.

Bake one fewer minute

Combine all answers that are unresolved at the time you try this one

Bake the cake while wearing a onesie.

Test/filter the water for heavy metals

Eat the bread in front of the White House.

Implement all options that resolved NO

Make the bread inedible then throw it out.

Throw the bread at @realDonaldTrump

Force Feed it to @realDonaldTrump

Cut the bread into the number of traders in the market slices.

make the bread bounce

Implementing every element listed below.

Just make donuts instead

Bake it in an easy bake kids oven

Use a plastic baking sheet.

Eat the bread while betting yes on Cuomo on Manifold

Double oven temperature

Bake the bread very thin and add food coloring to make it have the US flag. Don’t allow it to touch the ground, illuminate at night, fold 13 times properly, and pledge allegiance before eating.

Don’t use usual water (room temperature) for the dough - that water’s only for toilets. Use electrolyte drinks instead with ice cubes; they make the dough taste better and add extra nutrition.

Light it on fire with birthday candles.

Bake it with a microwave

Halve oven temperature

Eat the bread while betting yes on Mamdani on Manifold

Step on it

Bring it to Yemen and put a bomb in it

Bake America Great Again

Sacrifice a lamb

Add MAGA and a splash of Trump juice

Bake in a cat and a dog

Explode it:

5 parts cyanide/ 1 part water/ 1 part sand

say 6 7 67 times before making the bread

Take a fat dump in the dough

Sit in dough 24 hrs

Replace flour with flowers

Let dough sit 24 hrs

Mix half sodium/potassium chloride

Add 2g? of baking soda

Bake in rectangular tin

Add 50g vital wheat gluten

double yeast

halve salt

Double salt

Add 2tsp olive oil

Refrigerate dough instead of room temp wait

Start at 500F, drop to 450F and uncover half way through

Do not mix salt and yeast in water together

Autolyse 20 minutes

Let dough rise on counter only until double volume or 2h max, any time longer in fridge

Think positive thoughts before tasting

Put fork in microwave

Don't eat anything for at least 12 hours before eating the bread

Add 2tbsp vanilla extract

Play classical music while baking

Make naan bread, an easy-to-make bread

Add a pinch of sugar

Bake on upside-down sheet pan, covered with Dutch oven

Eat the bread with friends

Bake vegimite into it.

Bake vodka into it

Bake it in the country you were born in.

Let dough sit 48 hrs

Resolve this option YES while eating the bread

Ditch all the steps. Just buy the bread from the supermarket

Eat the bread over the course of a week.

Bake for 5 fewer minutes

Use 50% whole grain flour

Bake the bread with love

Use King Arthur Bread Flour instead of All-Purpose

Add sawdust to increase the volume of the bread (but only like 10% sawdust by volume max. maybe 20% if it's good sawdust)

More steam! Either spritz with more water (preferably hot) or actually pour some boiling water in just before closing the lid.

Resolve this option NO while eating the bread

Incorporate a whole grain flour (buckwheat for example)

Add 50g sugar

Add 50g honey

Swap 200ml water for milk

Cover bread with damp paper towel instead of initial water spritz. Rehydrate paper towel during 2nd spritz. Remove paper towel before placing on cooling rack.

Make a poolish 12 h ahead: 100 g flour + 100 g water + 0.8 g yeast (0.1 %). After it ferments, use this poolish in place of 100 g flour and 100 g water in the final dough.

Add an amount of MSG equivalent to half the current salt content

Use flour made from an unconventional grain e.g. barley, millet, oats, rye, sorghum, maize etc.

Eat the bread while sending all your mana to @realDonaldTrump

Add 1/2 cup yogurt to the bread and name the bread “gurt” while addressing it with “yo, gurt”.

Add banana

Add poppy seeds

Replace some of the water with an egg (eg. remove 25g of water for a 50g egg)

Only use tap water from specifically New York City

Want to improve the value of your bread? Simply bake a piece of gold into it

M. "We'll make the AI do our AI alignment homework" just works as a plan. (Eg the helping AI doesn't need to be smart enough to be deadly; the alignment proposals that most impress human judges are honest and truthful and successful.)

B. Humanity puts forth a tremendous effort, and delays AI for long enough, and puts enough desperate work into alignment, that alignment gets solved first.

J. Something 'just works' on the order of eg: train a predictive/imitative/generative AI on a human-generated dataset, and RLHF her to be unfailingly nice, generous to weaker entities, and determined to make the cosmos a lovely place.

O. Early applications of AI/AGI drastically increase human civilization's sanity and coordination ability; enabling humanity to solve alignment, or slow down further descent into AGI, etc. (Not in principle mutex with all other answers.)

C. Solving prosaic alignment on the first critical try is not as difficult, nor as dangerous, nor taking as much extra time, as Yudkowsky predicts; whatever effort is put forth by the leading coalition works inside of their lead time.

Something wonderful happens that isn't well-described by any option listed. (The semantics of this option may change if other options are added.)

K. Somebody discovers a new AI paradigm that's powerful enough and matures fast enough to beat deep learning to the punch, and the new paradigm is much much more alignable than giant inscrutable matrices of floating-point numbers.

H. Many competing AGIs form an equilibrium whereby no faction is allowed to get too powerful, and humanity is part of this equilibrium and survives and gets a big chunk of cosmic pie.

I. The tech path to AGI superintelligence is naturally slow enough and gradual enough, that world-destroyingly-critical alignment problems never appear faster than previous discoveries generalize to allow safe further experimentation.

D. Early powerful AGIs realize that they wouldn't be able to align their own future selves/successors if their intelligence got raised further, and work honestly with humans on solving the problem in a way acceptable to both factions.

F. Somebody pulls off a hat trick involving blah blah acausal blah blah simulations blah blah, or other amazingly clever idea, which leads an AGI to put the reachable galaxies to good use despite that AGI not being otherwise alignable.

G. It's impossible/improbable for something sufficiently smarter and more capable than modern humanity to be created, that it can just do whatever without needing humans to cooperate; nor does it successfully cheat/trick us.

A. Humanity successfully coordinates worldwide to prevent the creation of powerful AGIs for long enough to develop human intelligence augmentation, uploading, or some other pathway into transcending humanity's window of fragility.

E. Whatever strange motivations end up inside an unalignable AGI, or the internal slice through that AGI which codes its successor, they max out at a universe full of cheerful qualia-bearing life and an okay outcome for existing humans.

L. Earth's present civilization crashes before powerful AGI, and the next civilization that rises is wiser and better at ops. (Exception to 'okay' as defined originally, will be said to count as 'okay' even if many current humans die.)

N. A crash project at augmenting human intelligence via neurotech, training mentats via neurofeedback, etc, produces people who can solve alignment before it's too late, despite Earth civ not slowing AI down much.

You are fooled by at least one option on this list, which out of many tries, ends up sufficiently well-aimed at your personal ideals / prejudices / the parts you understand less well / your own personal indulgences in wishful thinking.

Max Q

Stage separation

SECO

Ship re-entry (ship in one piece at start of belly flop)

Fully orbital

Payload deployment

Deorbit burn

Ship soft splashdown

Booster simulated landing

2% for each satellite deployed

Booster catch

Ship Catch

Kimi Antonelli

Lando Norris

Max Verstappen

Lewis Hamilton

Charles Leclerc

George Russell

Liam Lawson

Oscar Piastri

Isack Hadjar

Pierre Gasly

Arvid Lindblad

Franco Colapinto

Oliver Bearman

Nico Hülkenberg

Gabriel Bortoleto

Esteban Ocon

Fernando Alonso

Carlos Sainz

Alexander Albon

Yuki Tsunoda

Lance Stroll

Valtteri Bottas

Sergio Pérez

70 - 79

60 - 69

80 - 89

90 - 99

100 - 109

Below 50

50 - 59

110-119

YES

NO

Max Verstappen

Kimi Antonelli

George Russell

Lewis Hamilton

Charles Leclerc

Lando Norris

Oscar Piastri

Isack Hadjar

Liam Lawson

Pierre Gasly

Arvid Lindblad

Franco Colapinto

Oliver Bearman

Nico Hülkenberg

Gabriel Bortoleto

Esteban Ocon

Fernando Alonso

Carlos Sainz

Alexander Albon

Yuki Tsunoda

Lance Stroll

Valtteri Bottas

Sergio Pérez

Kimi Antonelli

Max Verstappen

George Russell

Lewis Hamilton

Charles Leclerc

Lando Norris

Oscar Piastri

Isack Hadjar

Liam Lawson

Pierre Gasly

Arvid Lindblad

Franco Colapinto

Oliver Bearman

Nico Hülkenberg

Gabriel Bortoleto

Esteban Ocon

Fernando Alonso

Carlos Sainz

Alexander Albon

Yuki Tsunoda

Lance Stroll

Valtteri Bottas

Sergio Pérez