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Prediction markets for Atom
Is 1,000 atoms ever sufficient for the experience of suffering, under any design or any circumstance? (Upgradable KBC, resolves in 2025)
Feb 6, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.07%chance
231034
OptionVotes
1695
814
OptionVotes
1095
965
Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?
Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
45.13%chance
19957
OptionVotes
1049
927
Will atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?
Apr 2, 9:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
13.85%chance
16849
OptionVotes
1336
904
Will an element with an atomic number greater than that of oganesson (118) be synthesized before 2028?
Jul 15, 9:57 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM
37.22%chance
17679
OptionVotes
1308
734
Will NASA use atomic clocks on the moon as part of their initial timekeeping method?
Apr 22, 1:51 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
73.54%chance
18563
OptionVotes
1145
915
Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?
Apr 2, 9:53 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
14.9%chance
8363
OptionVotes
272
107
Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?
Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
12.82%chance
15314
OptionVotes
1117
959
Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?
Apr 2, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
41.37%chance
13260
OptionVotes
1048
922
Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)
Oct 14, 1:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
48.63%chance
14226
OptionVotes
1020
978
Will any of Jose Luis ricon atoms undergo fusion via quantum tunneling while he is still intact?
Apr 5, 5:00 AMApr 13, 3:59 AM
43.92%chance
213
OptionVotes
133
108
OptionVotes
70
70