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atomic bombing News
Prediction markets for atomic bombing
Prediction markets for atomic bombing
Starship experiences sub 2 km RUD by 2026?
May 14, 9:37 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
7.65%
chance
14
5181
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3475
288
The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Drone Swarm Assassinate a Public Figure by 2040?
Feb 8, 12:36 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
74.77%
chance
16
544
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1385
756
Will a US president explicitly apologize for the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki by 2040?
Jun 4, 8:38 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
52.66%
chance
10
377
Option
Votes
NO
YES
231
132
Will any non-state group detonate a nuclear weapon, successfully killing at least 1 person, before 2040?
May 2, 6:17 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
11.88%
chance
6
227
Option
Votes
YES
NO
272
37
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