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Prediction markets for Augmented Reality

What will be in the Trump Presidential Library?

Oct 7, 2:48 AMFeb 1, 3:42 AM

231466

OptionProbability

Statue of Trump

Replica Oval Office

Quatar Jet

MAGA hat gallery

Twitter/X tweet archive wall

A box office charging at least $50 for admission

Border wall model with donor plaques

Gift shop selling $99 commemorative NFTs

Impeachment memorabilia exhibit

Golf simulator featuring Trump courses

VIP tour priced at $250

Hall of NDAs

Gold toilet

Animatronic Trump

Interactive January 6th augmented reality experience

Sharpie-altered hurricane map display

Gold-plated elevator

“Covfefe” coffee bar

86

80

77

76

71

45

37

25

21

20

20

15

14

12

9

8

7

7

What will I game on in 2035?

Dec 4, 9:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4443

OptionProbability

PC / Laptop

Home Console

Handheld Console

Augmented / Virtual Reality

Something totally other

Streaming to any device

Smartphone

Holodeck

Arcade Cabinet

Brain/Computer Interface

80

50

50

50

50

45

39

35

32

25

Will Apple announce a new AR headset in 2026?”

Jan 7, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.65%chance

5392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

216

46

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Mar 30, 9:35 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

47.81%chance

16269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

968

Will any company sell over 30 million VR/AR headsets in a year by 2030?

Dec 14, 4:18 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

67.9%chance

10239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

239

121

Will virtual and augmented reality be as popular in 2060 as smartphones were in 2021?

Mar 26, 12:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

65.9%chance

10152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

253

146

Will any country institute zones where it is illegal to go without wearing a MITM AR device by 2030?

Jun 26, 6:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14%chance

7150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

Will augmented reality (AR) contact lenses be a thing before 2030 ?

Jan 2, 10:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30%chance

341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

68

Will smartphones become extinct before 2100?

Sep 15, 1:23 PMDec 31, 7:30 AM

33%chance

118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

26

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