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Prediction markets for August

Which company has best AI model end of August? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)

Jul 1, 5:31 PMAug 31, 6:01 PM

309221787

OptionProbability

Google

xAI

OpenAI

DeepSeek

Anthropic

Meta

Alibaba

Other

88

6

4

1

0

0

0

0

Will there be a second Nintendo Direct in August?

Aug 5, 1:39 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

26.14%chance

3224756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1681

595

Bitcoin $130K in August?

Jul 27, 8:31 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

13%chance

5917348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2587

387

Renters' Rights Bill receives Royal Assent by August 31, 2025

Jun 19, 6:10 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

1.26%chance

616257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15026

255

Will Bitcoin BTC reach $130,000 in August?

Jul 31, 5:16 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

13%chance

4410596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2587

387

Bitcoin $125K in August?

Jul 25, 10:03 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

36.54%chance

3910088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

759

Will Ukrainians admitted on Humanitarian Parole get extension in August 2025?

Aug 11, 7:12 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

40.7%chance

478447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12071

8284

Air Baltic defaults on 2024 14.5% EUR bond before August 14, 2029?

Apr 22, 8:31 PMAug 13, 11:59 PM

49%chance

123516

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

980

Will a Wind Waker re-release for the Switch 2 exist before August 2026?

Aug 1, 7:09 AMAug 1, 4:59 AM

18.51%chance

41135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2594

978

Will the Grand Theft Auto 6 release be delayed until August 1st 2026 or later?

May 5, 3:01 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

32.39%chance

241118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2099

1666

My Substack post exceeds 200 readers before August 19th, 2025?

Aug 12, 7:14 AMAug 18, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

2172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

Will the BTC Ordinal collection Labitbus stay #1 on Magic Eden for the entire month of August 2025?

Aug 5, 6:57 AMSep 4, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Other

33

33

33

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