Authenticator News

Will audio recordings of FDIC malfeasance vis crypto be confirmed?

Jan 12, 9:50 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.08%chance

5529537

OptionVotes

YES

24482

4980

Will the Vesuvius Challenge recover at least one known lost work (>= 1k words) by 2030?

Oct 15, 11:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91.47%chance

5013718

OptionVotes

YES

4838

836

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Nov 30, 10:02 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

20.78%chance

559461

OptionVotes

YES

3422

3106

Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?

Feb 19, 6:04 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

4.51%chance

519229

OptionVotes

YES

4603

217

Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?

Mar 18, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.74%chance

341353

OptionVotes

YES

1259

727

Writers' Room: Which of my comedy video ideas will have above-median performance?

Oct 21, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16743

OptionProbability

Glass of Thrones letdown (polished)

Watching Harry Potter 1 on airplane and rewinding and quoting over and over the meme wizard chess section

Quick dialog sketch: "Oh my gosh a black cat, we're going to have so much bad luck now" "Wait you don't really believe in that kind of stuff do you?" "See look we're already fighting :("

Friend who took a long time in the bathroom

Coaching my girlfriend to queue up match highlights from another room to avoid spoilers

Spies when they accidentally bite the poison pill hidden in their tooth

Sketchy human ATM

Depression after a team I never heard of loses

Before Sunrise POV in record shop

Whatever the next clip of me doing standup is

Glass of Thrones letdown

Remembering that PBR was a thing

Gross side of owls delivering mail in the great hall

A compilation of OpenAI employees interrupting ChatGPT (and potentially gradually fading to a scene from terminator)

Demo of the new ChatGPT but it's way too flirty

Candy addiction hotline

Friend who thinks they're safety officer

Brainstorming how to become viral

Slytherin doing the math

Cheap Airbnb tour

American Express review

Future Me

Having a bone to pick with soccer players doing a “bow and arrow” celebration but letting go of the bow

How it feels logging in with authenticator (shot in the style of dramatically diffusing a bomb)

Nervously removing a bunch of 'remove before flight' aviation tags from the counter of a helicopter tour company

NFC Translation

Satire of sales ads

Saying "Damn" in front of a dam.

Every time I try to order a beer

Dreamy nonsensical philosophy shot

Thinking I'm admiring the view from the Tokyo Skytower only to reveal that I don't realize I'm actually at the base of it.

100

iPhones Will Introduce Authenticity Verification for Photos and Videos

Jan 12, 2:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92%chance

5516

OptionVotes

YES

186

When will a bank offering voice authentication remove this option due to deepfake risk?

Apr 24, 12:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5392

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2024

2027 or later

Other

100 monthly users on my 'achievements' journaling app?

May 2, 12:26 AMJul 1, 11:52 PM

51.19%chance

3241

OptionVotes

YES

1024

976

Will TAG Grading overtake PSA as the biggest collectible authenticator before the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.59%chance

262

OptionVotes

YES

162

Will majority consensus in AI ethics shift toward explicitly prioritizing authentic subjective fulfillment by 2030s end?

Mar 19, 12:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

38.27%chance

327

OptionVotes

YES

127

Does doing something "just to troll" another person or group of people make it better than if it was done authentically?

Jan 21, 5:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

Authenticator News

Prediction markets for Authenticator

Prediction markets for Authenticator

Prediction markets for Authenticator

Will audio recordings of FDIC malfeasance vis crypto be confirmed?

Will the Vesuvius Challenge recover at least one known lost work (>= 1k words) by 2030?

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?

Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?

Writers' Room: Which of my comedy video ideas will have above-median performance?

iPhones Will Introduce Authenticity Verification for Photos and Videos

When will a bank offering voice authentication remove this option due to deepfake risk?

100 monthly users on my 'achievements' journaling app?

Will TAG Grading overtake PSA as the biggest collectible authenticator before the end of 2025?

Will majority consensus in AI ethics shift toward explicitly prioritizing authentic subjective fulfillment by 2030s end?

Does doing something "just to troll" another person or group of people make it better than if it was done authentically?

Latest stories