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Prediction markets for Avail DA
Conditional on AGI being available by 2045, will Eliezer Yudkowsky be declared enemy #1 by the AI during the first 60 days?
Feb 15, 1:28 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
6.63%
chance
13
1024
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1446
931
Apple's Advanced Data Protection feature remains available in the United States through December 31, 2028
Feb 14, 5:07 AM
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
63.71%
chance
3
325
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1330
760
Major damage to YouTube video availability by end 2028
Oct 8, 5:22 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.04%
chance
8
78
Option
Votes
YES
NO
164
57
Video footage of David Miscavige in a trial, deposition, or legal proceedings available publicly before 2031
Jul 13, 12:30 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.26%
chance
3
16
Option
Votes
YES
NO
123
99
In January 2030, how many properties will be available to rent in all of Ireland on Daft.ie?
Apr 10, 8:49 PM
6
0
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