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Prediction markets for Avatar

Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' become the highest-grossing movie of all time?

Jan 9, 2:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1%chance

3212599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11344

572

Will there be another Impeachment of a US President before James Cameron's Avatar 4 comes out?

Dec 12, 4:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.63%chance

202058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

879

Will "avatarism" become a significantly notable movement by 2030?

Jun 6, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.38%chance

30947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

899

Will Avatar 3 release on Dec 19 2025 as planned?

May 14, 7:38 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

98.65%chance

7848

OptionVotes

NO

YES

856

12

Will Dwarf Fortress still be receiving regular updates when James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases?

Jan 17, 5:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.02%chance

23775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1321

878

When Will CODEC Avatars be available in Meta's most mainstream headset?

Sep 28, 8:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

11417

OptionProbability

[2023-2025]

[2026-2027]

[2028-2029]

[2030-2031]

[2032-2033]

Not available by 2033

56

25

5

5

5

5

Legal requirements around avatar race presentation in the US or EU before 2046

Jun 7, 9:16 PMJul 20, 3:59 AM

37.08%chance

14337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

941

Will Avatar: Fire and Ash (AKA Avatar 3) get 75% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?

Sep 2, 7:40 AMDec 27, 7:59 AM

56.19%chance

890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation

Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

49.98%chance

380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Avatar: Fire and Ash outperforms Avatar: The Way of Water at US Box Office?

Oct 11, 4:51 PMMar 28, 11:59 PM

38.74%chance

770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

80

Will Jose Luis Ricon OR Adam Henry marblestone become an Xbox OR guitar hero avatar by 2033

Nov 20, 1:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.09%chance

160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

Will the avatar movies involve programming Pandora

Jun 23, 3:52 AMApr 1, 6:59 AM

50.45%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

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