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Prediction markets for Avatars

In what year will there be a film that surpasses Avatar as the highest grossing film worldwide?

Feb 16, 4:25 AMApr 21, 3:59 AM

233020

OptionProbability

Other

2026

2027

2028

2024

2025

56

16

14

13

1

1

will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026}

Feb 3, 7:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.89%chance

92426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2722

367

Will there be another Impeachment of a US President before James Cameron's Avatar 4 comes out?

Dec 12, 4:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.55%chance

212108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

929

Avatar: Fire and Ash worldwide box office?

Sep 2, 11:30 AMMar 20, 8:59 PM

221531

OptionProbability

$1 billion or more

$1.5 billion or more

$2 billion or more

$2.5 billion or more

$3 billion or more

100

84

2

1

1

Will Dwarf Fortress still be receiving regular updates when James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases?

Jan 17, 5:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

86.17%chance

231275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1821

779

Will "avatarism" become a significantly notable movement by 2030?

Jun 6, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.27%chance

31950

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

902

When Will CODEC Avatars be available in Meta's most mainstream headset?

Sep 28, 8:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

11417

OptionProbability

[2023-2025]

[2026-2027]

[2028-2029]

[2030-2031]

[2032-2033]

Not available by 2033

56

25

5

5

5

5

Legal requirements around avatar race presentation in the US or EU before 2046

Jun 7, 9:16 PMJul 20, 3:59 AM

37.08%chance

14337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

941

Will Avatar 4 have a better opening weekend than Avatar: Fire and Ash?

Dec 20, 6:35 AMDec 22, 6:33 AM

68.06%chance

13278

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

69

Will any of the remaining Avatar movies be delayed before close?

Jun 23, 7:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.84%chance

8144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

115

Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation

Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

49.98%chance

380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Season 2 of Netflix’s Avatar: the Last Airbender be rated higher than season 1?

Mar 7, 3:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.25%chance

565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

137

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