Avowed News

US citizen

Male

The shooter killed Charlie Kirk

White

The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders

Did it on purpose

Has a Reddit, Xitter, or Facebook account

The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya

The shooter is not a extraterrestrial alien

Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?

Born in the United States

Lives (or has lived) in Utah

Current or former LDS Church (mainline Mormon) member

Firearm used was otherwise lawfully owned under federal and state law

Native English speaker (L1)

Is a registered voter

20-27 years old

used a bolt action rifle

has at least one sibling

at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

Is the same person the FBI identified as the “person of interest”

“Extremely Online” (market owner’s subjective judgment)

n/a

Skinny

Is named Tyler Robinson

wrote reference to furry culture on bullet casing

Resided in the same state as the incident

ectomorph body type

had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk

disliked Charlie Kirk

Acted alone (no accomplices)

Turns themselves in to the police / FBI

He killed Kirk to stop the spread of hatred.

Owns steam profile 76561198159427286

at least a quarter of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

has expressed positive sentiment towards furries

Had bullets with engraved messages on them

Hunter

Accident please N/A

has purchased furry-related media or items

Gamer

Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, or Transgender

Unemployed

iphone user

Motivated primarily by political ideology

is/was in a sexual relationship with a transwoman

Will plead guilty

Not a virgin

Is left wing

has a furaffinity account

Owns a car

Lives (or has lived) in the Provo–Orem metropolitan area

legally acquired the gun used to kill Charlie Kirk

Inconsistent, incoherent, or idiosyncratic political ideology

Has/had a partner named Lance Twiggs

Furry

actually has an indecipherable ideology rooted deeply within internet culture that doesn’t clearly fall on either side.

Communicated with peers primarily through Discord

Owns physical furry paraphernalia

extra charges are filed against him based on evidence discovered on his digital devices

Purchased and played Furry Shades of Gay on Steam

Strongly opposes zionism

Is sentenced to death

There is anecdotal evidence that they have a KiwiFarms account

N/A (oops)

is/was in a sexual relationship with a furry

Dies in prison

Has posted on r/toiletpaperusa

has used the word yiff in written communication

Conspired with an AI chatbot about this

Will kill again (including suicide)

Has ADHD

is/was in a sexual relationship with a furry transwoman

Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting the July 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump

had attended any event featuring kirk prior to the one at utah valley university

6 ft tall

Kash Patel alludes to his sexual deviancy

Has at least US$5.000 of credit card debt

was prescribed psychiatric medication

has vore kink

Anarchist (self-described; any "anarcho-" label counts)

Owned the firearm used

Went to furry events

cross-dresser

All questions in this market are resolved before 2026

Purposefully waited until Kirk mentioned shootings to fire

JD Vance alludes to his sexual deviancy

Elon Musk alludes to his sexual deviancy

Avowed left-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Democrat, socialist, communist, Green all count)

White cis-hetero Christian man

Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting Luigi Mangione

Participates in this market

student at any university

Owns a fursuit

Brony or a fan of My Little Pony

Radical Centrist/JREG fan

Avowed right-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Republican, MAGA, right-libertarian, neo-Nazi, monarchist all count)

Wrote a manifesto before the shooting

Has Reddit account with 10k+ karma

Has a Bluesky account

There is a broad consensus that they have a KiwiFarms account

Posted about Charlie Kirk on social media before the shooting

psychedelics user

at least half of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

Contact with CVLT/764/similar

made online adult/sexual content (e.g. onlyfans)

Was on an FBI watchlist

Had diagnosed mental illness

Former or current Charlie Kirk fan

Will be convicted by EOY 2026

J.K. Rowling alludes to his sexual deviancy

Involved in Israel/Palestine activism on either side

Fan fiction author

Femboy

History of illegal drug addiction

Escapes carceral detention

Was awarded a medal or award for marksmanship at any given point in time

History of domestic violence

Is right wing

has significant student load debt

Shooting was motivated by gun legislation in some way

Transgender

groyper

Left-handed

Had felony conviction previously

Current or former Calvary Chapel or other Pentecostal church member

Current or previous student at University of Utah

is Mossad

Was a student at UVU

Dead, as of October 10th (or earlier)

Motivated by personal grudge rather than politics (e.g. sexual jealousy or other personal-life motive)

Incel

Any documented connection to O9A (Order of Nine Angles, esoteric right-accelerationst group)

Accelerationist (any subtype)

Wanted to create pretext for violence against leftists

A time traveller trying to avoid the worst

Has Twitter account with more than 2000 tweets

White Nationalist

The shooter will read "If Anyone Builds It..." (either while on the run or in custody) and likes the book

Current or former Roman Catholic

Involved in Effective Altruism

Was motivated by the Trump Epstein cover up?

Has a parent who drives for Uber

decel

Will get killed by law enforcement

Was a fan of Charlie Kirk

The shooter is a professional hitman, who does not care much about politics or ideology

Age >= 40 (on the day of the shooting)

Used a handgun

Ex-military

Not arrested as of midnight EST 9/14

Has a PhD

Has a Manifold account

Muslim

Veteran

History of alcoholism

Will share their first name with a famous video game character

Teenager

50 years or older

Has a master's degree

Will be apprehended at McDonald's, like Luigi Mangione.

Female Ninja Type Sniper

Is or was a computer science student

Ex law enforcement

Married

Parent

Manifold assists with his capture

Had a wikipedia page prior to 9/10/2025

Not arrested before EOY 2025

Fled the country after the shooting

Personally knew Charlie Kirk

Enjoys diplomatic immunity

Indian national

The shooter was an AI or an android controlled by AI

Iranian national

Registered Democrat

Will be convicted by EOY 2025

Will be apprehended at a McDonald's

is in fact three racoons dressed in a trenchcoat

Meant to hit an apple on Charlie Kirk's head

used telekinesis to correct the bullet's trajectory

NO