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Prediction markets for Aya

Which Crumbles First? Manifold, or Ayatollah?

Jan 7, 8:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

305385

OptionProbability

Ayatollah

Manifold

93

7

Will Ayatollah Alireza Arafi be confirmed dead by the end of March?

Mar 2, 3:52 AMApr 2, 2:59 AM

5.2%chance

161170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

427

23

Will Lex Fridman report experiencing psychological issues since taking Ayahuasca?

Jan 4, 10:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.49%chance

141097

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1828

736

Will Peter Wohlleben (behind “The Hidden Life of Trees) try Ayahuasca

Jun 10, 5:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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