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Prediction markets for Babbage

Greatest AI Researcher of All Time

Jul 18, 5:37 AMJan 1, 6:37 AM

4711553

OptionProbability

Other

Geoffrey Hinton

Ilya Sutskever

Noam Shazeer

Alan Turing

Daniel Hillis

Alec Radford

Ben Goertzle

Andrej Karpathy

Yann LeCun

Demis Hassabis

Paul Christiano

Charles Babbage

Yoshua Bengio

Jürgen Schmidhuber

John Schulman

Noam Brown

Liang Wenfeng

Alex Krizhevsky

Donald Knuth

George Boole

Kaiming He

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Marvin Minsky

Judea Pearl

Raymond Solomonoff

Andrew Ng

Fei-Fei Li

Dario Amodei

David Silver

@jim

23

18

11

8

5

5

4

4

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will GPT-X have Fermi mode?

Jan 9, 4:16 PMJul 1, 4:59 AM

9.8%chance

10302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

418

107

Will GPT-X have Galton mode?

Jan 11, 12:45 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

11.41%chance

6207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

308

103

Will GPT-X have Joule mode?

Jan 9, 9:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

17.14%chance

5161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

86

Will GPT-X have Kepler mode?

Jan 9, 9:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

19.98%chance

4131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

74

Will GPT-X have Heisenberg mode?

Jan 9, 9:36 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

13.8%chance

6116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

266

110

Will GPT-X have Geiger mode?

Jan 11, 12:32 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

16.94%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

60

Will GPT-X have Galileo mode?

Jan 9, 4:18 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21.49%chance

569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

78

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