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Prediction markets for Babbage

Greatest AI Researcher of All Time

Jul 18, 5:37 AMJan 1, 6:37 AM

4811575

OptionProbability

Other

Geoffrey Hinton

Ilya Sutskever

Noam Shazeer

Alec Radford

Daniel Hillis

Ben Goertzle

Alan Turing

Andrej Karpathy

Yann LeCun

Demis Hassabis

Paul Christiano

Charles Babbage

Jürgen Schmidhuber

John Schulman

Noam Brown

Liang Wenfeng

Alex Krizhevsky

Donald Knuth

George Boole

Kaiming He

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Marvin Minsky

Judea Pearl

Raymond Solomonoff

Yoshua Bengio

Andrew Ng

Fei-Fei Li

Dario Amodei

David Silver

@jim

24

19

11

8

5

5

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will GPT-X have Fermi mode?

Jan 9, 4:16 PMJul 1, 4:59 AM

9.8%chance

10302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

418

107

Will GPT-X have Galton mode?

Jan 11, 12:45 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

10.97%chance

7217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

102

Will GPT-X have Joule mode?

Jan 9, 9:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

17.14%chance

5161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

86

Will GPT-X have Kepler mode?

Jan 9, 9:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

19.98%chance

4131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

74

Will GPT-X have Heisenberg mode?

Jan 9, 9:36 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

13.2%chance

7126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

276

108

Will GPT-X have Galileo mode?

Jan 9, 4:18 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20.03%chance

679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

75

Will GPT-X have Geiger mode?

Jan 11, 12:32 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

16.94%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

60

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