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Prediction markets for Back

Will my ex partner and I get back together within 3 years?

Aug 16, 1:44 AMJun 17, 6:59 AM

69.58%chance

189139847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165099

32367

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Nov 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.3%chance

15386753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6266

1436

Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?

Jun 1, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.99%chance

8775040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

75862

45827

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Jan 20, 7:14 PMDec 20, 10:59 AM

18.73%chance

19654120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2083

480

Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?

Mar 3, 12:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

97.14%chance

5426604

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4860

89

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

77.3%chance

17224053

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14849

8064

Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?

Apr 20, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.36%chance

8617611

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1245

1097

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?

Oct 30, 12:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.73%chance

1056574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2843

1800

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Oct 30, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49%chance

796013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

1141

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

Mar 29, 6:43 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

53.7%chance

644087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1680

1168

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.72%chance

6380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

987

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