Back to the Future News
Prediction markets for Back to the Future
Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
11.57%chance
324859502
OptionVotes
7349
3560
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Jul 28, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
30.39%chance
340104594
OptionVotes
5080
3679
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10%chance
8141187
OptionVotes
29364
2889
Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?
Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
57.06%chance
2235957
OptionVotes
11340
8865
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%chance
745724
OptionVotes
2141
900
Which of the following movies is the next 25 years most likely to resemble?
Aug 18, 1:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
655180
OptionProbability
32
23
20
4
4
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which of these movie franchises with 3 entries will get a 4th released before Jan 1st 2028?
Jan 19, 5:09 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
211478
OptionProbability
100
83
72
62
56
50
47
40
40
38
37
35
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
28
26
25
24
24
23
18
17
10
What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?
Feb 9, 2:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
26.04%chance
12728
OptionProbability
1258
854
Will there be a back to the future 4 or remake/reboot by the end of 2026?
Jan 11, 11:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.54%chance
11273
OptionVotes
264
38
Which of these franchises will be present at Universal Studios Great Britain at opening?
Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4122
OptionProbability
52
50
50
50
44
Will there be a Back to the Future 4, or remake/reboot by the end of 2028?
Aug 1, 4:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.47%chance
4103
OptionVotes
171
58

