OptionProbability
Above $500
Below $100
$100 - $149
$150 - $199
$200 - $249
$250 - $299
$300 - $349
$350 - $399
$400 - $449
$450 - $500
99
0
Sam Altman
Elon Musk
Jensen Huang
Mark Zuckerberg
Dario Amodei
roon
Miles Brundage
Eliezer Yudkowsky
The Pope
Tim Cook
Donald Trump
Daniel Kokotajlo
Satya Nadella
Sundar Pichai
Xi Jinping
Dwarkesh Patel
Sam Bankman-Fried
Kamala Harris
85
68
57
52
51
50
45
44
43
39
36
34
31
28
20
8
OptionVotes
YES
NO
181
55
131
122
133
75
