OptionProbability
Above $500
Below $100
$100 - $149
$150 - $199
$200 - $249
$250 - $299
$300 - $349
$350 - $399
$400 - $449
$450 - $500
99
0
Sam Altman
Elon Musk
Jensen Huang
Mark Zuckerberg
Tim Cook
Dario Amodei
The Pope
Donald Trump
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Daniel Kokotajlo
Satya Nadella
Sundar Pichai
Xi Jinping
Dwarkesh Patel
Sam Bankman-Fried
Kamala Harris
80
68
57
56
43
40
37
36
34
31
28
20
8
OptionVotes
YES
NO
197
51
131
122
133
75
