OptionProbability
Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons
Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)
An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task
350+ million climate-displaced persons annually
Other (10m+ deaths)
US Treasury payment default or missed obligation
Worldwide Pandemic
29
27
8
7
4
Cheryl Venable
Paula Tkac
Other
Kartik Athreya
38
26
25
10
OptionVotes
YES
NO
128
78
