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Prediction markets for Bank Support

Will any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?

Aug 25, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.78%chance

83471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4461

224

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027

Feb 25, 12:25 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5665

OptionProbability

3.75%

4.00%

3.50%

4.25%

3.00%

3.25%

4.50%

4.75% or more

2.50% or less

2.75%

36

36

9

8

2

2

2

2

1

1

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.32%chance

13558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

32

Will the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

16393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.02%chance

7173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election?

Feb 23, 8:02 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

35.74%chance

9160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

75

What share of Russia’s frozen central bank reserves will have been used to support Ukraine?

Dec 10, 12:19 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3118

OptionProbability

0 - 9%

10 - 19%

20 - 29%

30 - 39%

40 - 49%

50 - 59%

60 - 69%

70 - 79%

80 - 89%

90 - 100%

12

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?

Feb 25, 12:28 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

2105

OptionProbability

4.00%

3.75%

4.25%

4.50%

3.50%

3.00%

2.50% or less

2.75%

3.25%

4.75%

5.00% or more

22

16

13

9

8

7

6

6

6

4

4

Will any central bank buy a cryptocurrency (CBDC doesn't count) for their reserves by the end of 2030?

Mar 7, 12:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.07%chance

381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

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