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Prediction markets for Bank Support

Will any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?

Aug 25, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.78%chance

83471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4461

224

Will the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.69%chance

20797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027

Feb 25, 12:25 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

8723

OptionProbability

4.00%

3.75%

3.50%

4.25%

3.25%

4.50%

4.75% or more

2.50% or less

2.75%

3.00%

52

32

4

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.32%chance

13558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

32

Will the closing price of silver exceed $65 at the end of September, 2026 based on the SI=F ticker on Yahoo Finance

Sep 4, 4:48 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

61.39%chance

10279

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

79

Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election?

Feb 23, 8:02 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

32.5%chance

11187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

69

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.02%chance

7173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?

Feb 25, 12:28 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

2127

OptionProbability

4.00%

4.25%

3.75%

4.50%

3.50%

4.75%

2.50% or less

2.75%

3.00%

3.25%

5.00% or more

18

17

13

13

8

8

5

5

5

5

3

What share of Russia’s frozen central bank reserves will have been used to support Ukraine?

Dec 10, 12:19 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3118

OptionProbability

0 - 9%

10 - 19%

20 - 29%

30 - 39%

40 - 49%

50 - 59%

60 - 69%

70 - 79%

80 - 89%

90 - 100%

12

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

Will any central bank buy a cryptocurrency (CBDC doesn't count) for their reserves by the end of 2030?

Mar 7, 12:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.07%chance

381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

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