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Prediction markets for Bar

Will Chili's Grill and Bar still exist in 2030?

Aug 28, 8:07 PMFeb 9, 6:59 AM

95%chance

153118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3998

589

Will there be a permanent bar, pub, or other drinking establishment on the Moon by 2050?

Mar 28, 2:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.39%chance

442564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2052

1234

Will Michael Sherwood pass the New York bar exam by the end of 2025?

Apr 30, 10:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.71%chance

32335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

624

37

Marine Le Pen legally barred from running for French President in 2027?

Nov 21, 8:25 PMMay 1, 12:00 AM

78.25%chance

161669

OptionVotes

NO

YES

190

53

MrBeast ad progress bars still non-linear, in early 2026?

May 30, 8:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.14%chance

81465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2393

418

Will Noam Chomsky get a black bar on hnews when he passes away

May 12, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

26.86%chance

161194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1698

547

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.2%chance

6820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10578

9454

Will Hersey's revive the Hershey's Gold candy bar by Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 2, 7:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

63.58%chance

12109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

972

Will public officials be barred from blocking people on Facebook in Supreme Court case O’Connor-Ratcliff v. Garnier?

Nov 8, 1:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.36%chance

485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

63

Will Lauren De Laguna pass the bar and be a practicing attorney in at least one USA state by the end of 2026?

May 16, 1:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68.36%chance

261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Will "Communities" still be prominently featured in the main WhatsApp navigation bar?

Dec 20, 4:06 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

35.35%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

If I were to punch someone at a bar, would there be legal consequences?

Aug 21, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.75%chance

543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

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