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Top stories

Coinbase Lists World Liberty Financial’s USD1 Stablecoin, $WLFI Hits $123 Billion, Adds Creator Coins on Base App

Coinbase Lists World Liberty Financial’s USD1 Stablecoin, $WLFI Hits $123 Billion, Adds Creator Coins on Base App

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Base App

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Aug 3, 4:44 PMDec 30, 4:14 PM

6151768

OptionProbability

Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design, will resolve N/A

Pat Scott @Stralor

@retr0id

@8my41

@vi

@Bandors

@Quroe

@Eternal

@Cy

@astroblob

@zhengkyl

@AlirezaAfshan

@Celene

@AtharvPatil

50

31

28

26

25

21

20

15

14

13

13

11

10

8

Apple releases base model iPhone 18 in 2026?

Jan 4, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.54%chance

163438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2641

379

When will Apple release a Vision base model?

Feb 12, 8:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

111368

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2029

2030 or later

2028

Never

2024

2025

45

20

9

9

8

7

1

1

Will there be an FDA-approved age reversal treatment based on partial cell reprogramming by 2030?

Dec 22, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.93%chance

19691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

912

Will it be possible to obtain FDA approval for a drug based on protein folding stimulations without human clinical trials by 2035?

Feb 14, 9:13 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

8.9%chance

21563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

945

Will I be able to buy an Apple computer that is primarily RISC-V based in 2026?

Jun 29, 8:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.67%chance

6292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

333

69

Will Apple launch a server product based on proprietary ARM CPUs by End of 2026?

Mar 13, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.22%chance

10220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2028?

Apr 20, 9:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27%chance

12159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

36

Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2030?

Apr 20, 9:40 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65%chance

679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

93

83

Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?

Jan 4, 12:34 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

61.94%chance

553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

341

288

Will Apple have a program that shuts out access based on non-payment on Apple financial services before 2030?

Dec 12, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.19%chance

238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

65

38

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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