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Prediction markets for Base App
OptionVotes
1156
865
OptionVotes
2565
390
OptionProbability
45
20
9
9
8
7
1
1
Will there be an FDA-approved age reversal treatment based on partial cell reprogramming by 2030?
Dec 22, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.93%chance
19691
OptionVotes
1152
912
Will it be possible to obtain FDA approval for a drug based on protein folding stimulations without human clinical trials by 2035?
Feb 14, 9:13 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM
8.9%chance
21563
OptionVotes
1238
945
If I use one of the below domains for my app, will I be happy with the choice by the end of 2026
Feb 23, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3425
OptionProbability
61
56
54
Will I be able to buy an Apple computer that is primarily RISC-V based in 2026?
Jun 29, 8:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.67%chance
6292
OptionVotes
333
69
Will Apple launch a server product based on proprietary ARM CPUs by End of 2026?
Mar 13, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.55%chance
9210
OptionVotes
162
62
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2028?
Apr 20, 9:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41.71%chance
891
OptionVotes
88
52
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2030?
Apr 20, 9:40 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
67.24%chance
574
OptionVotes
99
80
Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?
Jan 4, 12:34 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
61.94%chance
553
OptionVotes
341
288
Will Apple have a program that shuts out access based on non-payment on Apple financial services before 2030?
Dec 12, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.19%chance
238
OptionVotes
65
38