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Prediction markets for Base Canada

When will Canada's birth rate exceed India's birth rate?

Dec 9, 10:30 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

610790

OptionProbability

2051-2075

2076-2100

2041-2050

2031-2040

After 2100

Never

2025-2030

27

21

15

14

14

5

4

Canada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:47 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

6.27%chance

288492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3871

259

Will Canada have a universal base income by 2026?

Mar 19, 4:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.51%chance

268054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4553

751

Will Alberta leave Canada?

Dec 24, 1:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

104886

OptionProbability

Won’t leave before 2030

2029

2025

2026

2027

2028

95

2

1

1

1

1

Who will be the MVP for the 2026-27 NBA season?

Dec 26, 8:47 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

294830

OptionProbability

Victor Wembanyama

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Nikola Jokic

Other

Luka Doncic

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Anthony Edwards

Cade Cunningham

Jalen Brunson

Jaylen Brown

30

18

14

12

11

5

4

3

2

1

Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?

Jun 2, 7:29 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

82.68%chance

274079

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2185

458

Will the population of Canada be reported to have hit 45 million people before 2028?

Jul 14, 2:34 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

2.32%chance

131943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

949

22

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

68.25%chance

241825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

924

What will be the population of Canada in the year 2030?

Aug 1, 9:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.06%chance

12539

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1087

906

Chinese EVs manufactured in Canada?

Apr 2, 3:04 AMApr 9, 3:01 AM

48.76%chance

12481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

808

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.5 billion USD on April 1, 2027?

Mar 2, 6:15 PMApr 1, 6:14 PM

33.78%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

Canada hosts 2 GW / 2M H100-equivalent AI cluster by 2028?

Apr 8, 2:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.18%chance

437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

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