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3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:24 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.96%
chance
8
548
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1334
752
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Oct 29, 1:28 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
48.77%
chance
5
234
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1025
976
Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?
Jul 4, 10:55 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.28%
chance
6
213
Option
Votes
YES
NO
313
32
China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?
Oct 30, 12:17 PM
Jul 1, 10:59 PM
51.45%
chance
4
170
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1095
1027
Will the CFTC file regulatory action against Manifold Markets for transactions involving the exchange of mana by 2030?
Nov 25, 12:39 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
13.27%
chance
6
157
Option
Votes
YES
NO
223
43
Will paid WoW Mythic dungeon carry services become more mainstream among casual World of Warcraft players by the end of
Dec 27, 10:07 AM
Nov 11, 11:59 PM
20.96%
chance
2
128
Option
Votes
YES
NO
194
51
Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Oct 29, 1:25 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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