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Prediction markets for Base Protocol

Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?

Oct 17, 7:08 PMOct 17, 11:59 PM

69.67%chance

1914646

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15156

6598

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Dec 21, 5:14 AMDec 21, 5:12 AM

133579

OptionProbability

Not before 31 December 2030

in 2030

in 2028

in 2029

in 2027

in 2026

81

7

5

5

2

1

will trump be assasinated in US?

Mar 7, 1:13 AMDec 31, 1:12 AM

5%chance

241789

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.79%chance

12961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1573

636

A top-10 cryptocurrency incorporates quantum information for consensus by 2035

Feb 13, 5:57 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

65.41%chance

11412

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

73

Apple adds MCP support before June 8, 2026?

Jun 8, 8:45 AMJun 7, 11:59 PM

25.65%chance

9386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

60

When, if ever before 2060, will a long-term suspended animation procedure on humans be developed and shown reliable?

Jan 9, 4:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6362

OptionProbability

Later than 2059 or never (question will close in 2060)

2040-2045

2045-2050

2050-2055

2055-2059

2024-2030

2030-2035

2035-2040

71

6

5

5

5

2

2

2

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11%chance

8250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will DC metro trains (all lines) have no staff onboard by 2035?

May 20, 12:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45%chance

491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Open "Nano Banana Pro"‑Level Model on a Gaming GPU by 2028?

Nov 23, 4:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.3%chance

485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Antidepressants are safe to use (for 1-5 years)

Mar 2, 11:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 AM

48.2%chance

567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

"The Surge": Will Ethereum use 2D Reed-Solomon Codes by these dates?

Nov 30, 5:27 AMJul 2, 4:26 AM

260

OptionProbability

2028-01-01

2027-01-01

2026-07-01

2026-01-01

50

37

28

0

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