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Top stories

Pakistan-Linked APT36 Deploys Linux Desktop Shortcut Malware in Fresh India Spying Push

Pakistan-Linked APT36 Deploys Linux Desktop Shortcut Malware in Fresh India Spying Push

Authors

5

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Bash

Tim + Bashu (Intrusive Thoughts) stock

Feb 11, 5:40 AM

264369

OptionProbability

NO

YES

548

408

will i drop out of college?

Aug 9, 10:38 AMJun 30, 2:59 PM

19.63%chance

353273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2024

440

Will Bashkortostan secede from the Russian Federation before the end of 2028?

Aug 7, 7:28 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

6.82%chance

262092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2195

829

AI "devops" #3: Will there be an AI that can manage a small cluster by 2030?

May 4, 9:13 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

82.49%chance

11460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

326

108

Will there be a 3 (or more) way tiebreaker in the Makuuchi division of a Grand Sumo Tournament in 2026? (basho)

Jan 18, 10:43 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

45.37%chance

6290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

911

Will there be a zensho-yusho (15-0) in Makuuchi in 2026? [sumo basho]

Jan 27, 7:08 PMNov 28, 11:59 PM

16.5%chance

2200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

908

Have I intellectually outpaced Destiny?

Dec 12, 2:35 PMOct 12, 10:59 PM

68.83%chance

779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

132

Which will be independent first: Texas or Bashkortostan?

Dec 29, 7:21 PMFeb 12, 7:59 AM

331

OptionProbability

Bashkortostan

Texas

62

38

Does Everything Truly Change with Bashar?

Oct 11, 7:56 PMDec 31, 8:50 PM

47%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Will Qiaochu Yuan and Brian Basham ever talk again by EOY 2026?

Jan 3, 11:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

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