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Prediction markets for BASIC Interpreter

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

6.73%chance

24063435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3564

540

Will Xi Jinping leave mainland China in 2026?

Jan 29, 4:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.9%chance

156147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3369

297

Will AI be able to generate a realistic map of the US with all 50 states labeled correctly (no typos) by EOY 2026?

Aug 12, 10:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82.17%chance

16561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

308

148

When will Primitive Technology on Youtube create his next useful iron item?

Apr 4, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

492

OptionProbability

Aug-Dec 2025

Jan-Jun 2026

2028 or Never

Jul-Dec 2027

Jan-Jun 2027

Jul-Dec 2026

36

18

14

12

11

10

Will Tumbles become convinced that local realism is false before 2027? (quantum physics)

Jan 5, 11:04 AMJan 1, 12:20 PM

77.07%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

88

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