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Prediction markets for Beaver

Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?

Jan 30, 4:41 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

33.12%chance

828373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1976

671

Which Busy Beaver machine will be proven next?

Jul 2, 9:52 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

81955

OptionProbability

BB(3,3)

BB(2,5)

BB(6)

75

19

5

Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?

Jan 31, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.02%chance

18587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

734

Will I make a tweet about AI with more likes than my tweet about beavers by end of 2027?

Oct 21, 5:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.41%chance

7505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

949

What is the first input for which the Busy Beaver function exceeds the Ackermann function?

Jan 31, 5:13 AMDec 26, 5:59 AM

20.31%chance

6425

OptionProbability

YES

NO

550

245

Will there be an official Hundreds of Beavers video game released by the end of 2027?

Jun 2, 2:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.03%chance

7240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

905

Will bears be reintroduced to the UK by the end of 2040?

Apr 6, 5:31 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

28.2%chance

10185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

124

Will wolves be reintroduced to the UK by the end of 2035?

Apr 6, 5:31 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

33%chance

8142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

111

Is it possible to prove which Busy Beaver number is the highest that can be determined?

Oct 18, 8:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.64%chance

10131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

69

Will lynx be reintroduced to the UK by the end of 2030?

Apr 6, 5:31 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

32.59%chance

772

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

112

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