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Prediction markets for Before Midnight

Will a counterexample to the Collatz conjecture be found before midnight new year 2028?

Mar 17, 4:29 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

3.14%chance

7668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

626

67

What Big Moves will European Union make before midnight Christmas Eve 2034 (add)

Oct 7, 10:37 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

10631

OptionProbability

Add country(ies)

Relax unanimity requirements

Create Armed forces

Create Reserve like(ish) the US Federal Reserve

Remove a countries voting rights (even for a period)

Expel a country(ies)

Become a country

65

59

55

50

40

30

8

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Jul 21, 2:46 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

23.52%chance

9362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

91

Hague Invasion Act invoked before Midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Oct 26, 10:34 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

12.96%chance

5191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

TV presenter Jonathan Ross differentiates his name before midnight Christmas Eve 2026?

Jan 9, 6:22 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

13.74%chance

7183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Jul 21, 2:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

22.94%chance

8163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

103

Over 500 arrested for public nudity in Iran before midnight Christmas Eve?

Sep 13, 6:42 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

27.69%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

62

Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?

Oct 22, 7:20 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

25.27%chance

6100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Number symbolism in US curriculum 6th grade or below, promulgatory or sceptical, before midnight Christmas Eve 2027?

Nov 29, 6:22 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

21.69%chance

290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 10 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?

Jul 21, 2:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

32.86%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

88

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?

Jul 21, 2:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25%chance

356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

60

How much time before midnight on Doomsday Clock in 2027?

Jul 11, 5:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

327

OptionProbability

60-80 seconds

81-84 seconds

40-60 seconds

20-40 seconds

1-20 seconds

Midnight

32

14

14

14

14

12

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