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Top stories

Prediction Markets

Newsom’s Poll Numbers and Betting Odds Rise After High-Profile Social Media Barrage

Authors

29

10 hours ago

Prediction markets for Bela

Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?

Dec 30, 8:13 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

92.7%chance

293756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3133

634

Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031?

May 6, 11:59 PMMar 6, 10:59 PM

43.12%chance

23252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

607

555

Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?

Dec 31, 11:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

78.53%chance

321597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1608

752

Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?

Jan 2, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

90.51%chance

111261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

453

57

Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2025?

Aug 29, 1:02 AMDec 31, 10:41 PM

7.06%chance

17573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

363

28

Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?

May 11, 8:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.7%chance

17560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

931

Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 2:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.84%chance

12469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?

Feb 21, 12:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.61%chance

18463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

949

Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10.24%chance

11421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

415

72

Who will be the next President of Belarus, after Lukashenko?

Oct 27, 6:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9234

OptionProbability

Other

Viktar Babaryka

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

-- State of Belarus will be substantially dissolved ---

Siarhiej Cichanouski

Andrey Dmitriyeu

-- office of President will be substantially dissolved ---

Siarhei Cherachen

26

24

19

9

9

6

4

3

Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?

May 16, 1:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.35%chance

6217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

305

56

Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.

Mar 14, 5:01 PMMar 21, 10:59 PM

41.33%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

123

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