Best AI Agent News

can you just balenciaga it? Before 2028

Jun 7, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47%chance

77807582

OptionVotes

YES

1062

942

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19745815

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?

Aug 26, 7:20 PMAug 24, 6:59 AM

6.99%chance

12120999

OptionVotes

YES

3646

274

When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?

May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1518776

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027

2026

2028

2029

2025

2024

What year will the first AI exceed 80% on MLE-bench?

Oct 10, 11:14 PMJan 18, 7:59 AM

397377

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2025

2029

After 2030

2024

2030

OpenAI Agent continue refusing to do captchas by mid-2026?

Jul 18, 5:29 PMJul 18, 5:26 PM

84.8%chance

315520

OptionVotes

YES

3468

721

SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).

Oct 9, 11:04 PMOct 10, 11:04 PM

59.93%chance

395035

OptionVotes

YES

1223

818

Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?

Dec 19, 6:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.53%chance

231822

OptionVotes

YES

2437

414

SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

Oct 9, 11:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.72%chance

191273

OptionVotes

YES

1656

604

Total subscriber size of non‑porn AI romance/companionship subreddits on Reddit on Aug 17, 2026

Aug 26, 6:04 AMAug 17, 11:59 PM

5384

OptionProbability

> 500,000

180,001–280,000

280,001–500,000

≤ 180,000

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

105

103

Will the Yankees finish first in the AL East in 2026?

Mar 26, 2:31 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

71.38%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

158

Best AI Agent News

Prediction markets for Best AI Agent

Prediction markets for Best AI Agent

Prediction markets for Best AI Agent

can you just balenciaga it? Before 2028

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?

When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?

What year will the first AI exceed 80% on MLE-bench?

OpenAI Agent continue refusing to do captchas by mid-2026?

SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).

Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?

SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

Total subscriber size of non‑porn AI romance/companionship subreddits on Reddit on Aug 17, 2026

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Will the Yankees finish first in the AL East in 2026?

Latest stories