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Prediction markets for Best Picture

[WAY TOO EARLY] Best Picture winner? (2027 Oscars)

Mar 11, 3:19 AMMar 14, 11:59 PM

7240283

OptionProbability

The Odyssey

Dune: Part Three

Other

Fjord

Wild Horse Nine

Digger

Project Hail Mary

The Samurai and the Prisoner

Disclosure Day

Her Private Hell

Social Reckoning

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Jack of Spades

Saturn Return

Toy Story 5

Avengers: Doomsday

Michael

The Devil Wears Prada 2

The Christophers

Josephine

Werwulf

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Paper Tiger

51

12

12

5

5

4

3

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Project Hail Mary be nominated for Best Picture?

Apr 4, 5:33 PMJan 24, 11:59 PM

72%chance

997760

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1382

806

Best Picture Nominees? (2027 Oscars)

Jun 6, 9:27 PMJan 20, 5:00 AM

242957

OptionProbability

The Odyssey

Dune: Part Three

Project Hail Mary

Wild Horse Nine

Fjord

The Samurai and the Prisoner

The Black Ball

Josephine

Digger

Paper Tiger

Club Kid

Minotaur

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Cry to Heaven

Jack of Spades

1949 / Fatherland

Behemoth

The Social Reckoning

Being Heumann

Obsession

Sense and Sensibility

Disclosure Day

95

86

80

76

67

52

50

50

48

47

41

41

38

38

35

33

29

26

25

25

23

14

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

301932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

1821

'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

131779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

53

Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture?

Jul 3, 2:54 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

32.02%chance

221076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1457

686

By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?

Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.41%chance

27766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1424

879

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.26%chance

23618

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1162

810

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2026 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2027)

Mar 11, 5:29 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

45%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

187

132

Will Focus Features win Best Picture before April 1st 2031? Currently they have the most Oscar nominations without a win

Dec 14, 4:07 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

80.11%chance

463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

41

OBBA or Sinners for best picture?

Mar 11, 4:32 AM

50

what are the best interface for picture?

Mar 5, 7:05 PM

160

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