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Prediction markets for Best Picture

[WAY TOO EARLY] Best Picture winner? (2027 Oscars)

Mar 11, 3:19 AMMar 14, 11:59 PM

4228531

OptionProbability

Other

The Odyssey

Wild Horse Nine

Dune: Part Three

Project Hail Mary

Social Reckoning

Digger

Jack of Spades

Disclosure Day

Fjord

Her Private Hell

Michael

Josephine

Werwulf

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Saturn Return

Toy Story 5

Avengers: Doomsday

The Devil Wears Prada 2

The Christophers

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

36

23

9

7

7

4

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Project Hail Mary be nominated for Best Picture?

Apr 4, 5:33 PMJan 24, 11:59 PM

68.04%chance

937087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

869

How many times will I cry emotionally to written work made entirely by an LLM before July 2026?

Oct 11, 4:53 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

29.81%chance

263046

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1535

652

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

301932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

1821

'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

131779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

53

Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?

Mar 8, 5:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5.13%chance

171013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1814

885

By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?

Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.07%chance

26716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1374

889

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.35%chance

22616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

808

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2026 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2027)

Mar 11, 5:29 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

61%chance

589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

138

Will Focus Features win Best Picture before April 1st 2031? Currently they have the most Oscar nominations without a win

Dec 14, 4:07 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

80.11%chance

463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

41

what are the best interface for picture?

Mar 5, 7:05 PM

160

OBBA or Sinners for best picture?

Mar 11, 4:32 AM

50

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