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Prediction markets for Best Picture award

[WAY TOO EARLY] Best Picture winner? (2027 Oscars)

Mar 11, 3:19 AMMar 14, 11:59 PM

7743626

OptionProbability

The Odyssey

La Bola Negra

Other

Dune: Part Three

Digger

Wild Horse Nine

Project Hail Mary

Social Reckoning

Fjord

The Samurai and the Prisoner

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Disclosure Day

Her Private Hell

Jack of Spades

Saturn Return

Toy Story 5

Avengers: Doomsday

Michael

The Devil Wears Prada 2

The Christophers

Josephine

Werwulf

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Paper Tiger

51

13

8

6

4

4

3

3

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

301932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

1821

'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

131779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

53

Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?

Mar 8, 5:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5.13%chance

171013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1814

885

Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027?

Apr 5, 7:20 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

68.41%chance

35826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?

Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.41%chance

27766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1424

879

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.26%chance

23618

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1162

810

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2026 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2027)

Mar 11, 5:29 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

45%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

187

132

Will Alexander Skarsgård win an Oscar for his acting before 2031?

May 29, 9:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.94%chance

8151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

91

When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released?

Apr 11, 1:18 AMJan 1, 2:16 AM

4130

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2029

2028

Before 2028

Never / no future films

39

28

20

7

6

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